@holstakovich
#37,896960x36e4807678ef2706009072ca3e771422c6699116
~36d· 26 markets · 51 tradesVol: $14,2182026-08-04 15:06:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (17/20)20/20
2.89x (win $4,613 / loss $1,595)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.65915/15
Sortino 11.99410/10
$+0.3792 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 885 (20 markets)8.1/10
16/19 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($980 / $3,018)7.5/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+3,008
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Consistent
16/19 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#16,898$2,577Vol: $9,781
⚽ SPORTS#61,357$423Vol: $3,535
🏛️ POLITICS#297,840$2Vol: $468
🎭 CULTURE#86,477$6Vol: $220
💰 FINANCE#148,531$1Vol: $214
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,008
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,218
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
50B / 1S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,008
Vol: $14,218
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
17W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$3,008
Win Rate
85%
17W / 3L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$271
Avg Loss
$-532
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,459 (0.8174812667468966% of PnL)
Top Winners
Solana Up or Down on July 23?$1,225
XRP Up or Down on August 12?$652
XRP Up or Down on July 29?$582
Solana Up or Down on July 19?$543
Orioles vs. Guardians$464
Cubs vs. Yankees$449
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?$368
XRP Up or Down on August 15?$312
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$6
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$2
Top Losers
XRP Up or Down on July 26?$-980
Padres vs. Phillies$-490
Solana Up or Down on August 8?$-125
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.339
Sortino
0.370
HHI
812
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.397
Kelly %
65.5%
Half-Kelly
32.7%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
52.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8794s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)16%
High (>55c)84%
Sessions
#127/22/2025, 8:30:48 AM1 trades$1,2250 min
7/24/2025, 11:59:36 AM1 trades$9800 min
7/11/2025, 12:53:44 AM1 trades$7330 min
8/11/2025, 7:10:12 AM1 trades$6520 min
7/28/2025, 12:17:11 PM1 trades$5820 min
5/13/2025, 10:16:48 AM1 trades$5750 min
7/21/2025, 8:58:33 AM1 trades$5670 min
7/18/2025, 11:47:36 AM1 trades$5430 min
7/2/2025, 10:10:51 AM1 trades$4900 min
8/14/2025, 8:15:26 AM1 trades$3120 min
8/6/2025, 1:18:46 AM1 trades$1250 min
7/27/2026, 11:22:01 AM1 trades$560 min
7/2/2026, 1:21:31 PM2 trades$560 min
7/5/2026, 10:38:23 AM1 trades$560 min
7/6/2026, 5:12:49 AM1 trades$560 min
6/21/2026, 5:32:11 PM1 trades$550 min
6/21/2026, 4:25:41 PM1 trades$550 min
6/11/2026, 3:24:31 AM1 trades$550 min
7/13/2026, 6:57:47 AM1 trades$550 min
6/16/2026, 2:59:07 PM1 trades$550 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
07-18
07-24
08-11
05-14
06-01
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M16 / H84