@hoplog
#3,033,57400xa9061b4fac6988778cf41f4f1a849f72a206bfbc
~14d· 19 markets · 73 tradesVol: $22,5072026-08-04 15:05:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
17% (3/18)0/20
0.05x (win $227 / loss $4,797)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.8890/15
Sortino -7.2920/10
$-1.5916 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4300 (18 markets)0/10
1/12 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,570 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,866,623$-3,489Vol: $19,261
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,091$-415Vol: $2,640
📈 ECONOMICS#32,148$17Vol: $483
💰 FINANCE#45,990$15Vol: $110
📢 MENTIONS#21,206$8Vol: $13
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,864
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
25B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
Periods
#2Today
$-18
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $0
Month
$-43
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,864
Vol: $22,507
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
3W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-3,864
Win Rate
17%
3W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-320
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $227 (0.05884362367823112% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$200
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$19
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$8
Top Losers
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$-2,196
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$-1,179
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-210
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?$-177
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?$-67
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$-50
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$-40
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-25
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.395
Sortino
-0.380
HHI
2202
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.591
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.3%
Top-5 markets
83.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 109s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32%
Mid (20-55c)68%
High (>55c)0%
Sessions
#127/24/2026, 4:11:31 PM28 trades$14,7871 min
7/15/2026, 1:43:34 AM19 trades$9102 min
7/6/2026, 1:07:16 AM5 trades$3681 min
7/5/2026, 4:45:43 PM5 trades$3090 min
5/30/2025, 5:36:22 AM1 trades$2500 min
6/11/2025, 12:05:43 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/10/2026, 5:34:52 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/5/2026, 8:18:14 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/15/2026, 4:06:52 AM2 trades$912 min
5/30/2025, 5:26:35 AM2 trades$704 min
8/8/2025, 5:19:09 AM1 trades$400 min
5/29/2025, 6:51:05 PM1 trades$200 min
1/9/2026, 11:24:12 PM1 trades$200 min
1/4/2026, 1:17:03 AM2 trades$102 min
6/20/2025, 1:26:44 AM1 trades$50 min
1/3/2026, 4:24:59 PM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-20
01-03
01-09
07-05
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32 / M68 / H0