@horizonfushion

#51,61517

0xdb5b512f97df142c82d04dbd6336ab42dea84995

~41d· 40 markets · 1102 tradesVol: $68,0822026-08-05 02:24:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (16/40)5/20
0.56x (win $3,612 / loss $6,498)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9450/15
Sortino -6.4650/10
$-0.1748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 574 (40 markets)9.6/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 289% of peak ($4,436 / $1,536)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+2,050
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#2,378$1,985Vol: $67,730
SPORTS#179,802$41Vol: $352

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,026
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,082
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
421B / 681S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-26
Vol: $0
Week
$680
Vol: $3,339
Month
$680
Vol: $3,339
All Time
$2,026
Vol: $68,082

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
16W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$2,050
Win Rate
40%
16W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$226
Avg Loss
$-283

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,972 (0.9621329664217337% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$833
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$698
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$441
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$407
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5?$323
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$236
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026?$150
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?$144
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?$87
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$80

Top Losers

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$-1,264
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$-888
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?$-725
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?$-716
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$-586
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$-535
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?$-308
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in July?$-200
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$-198
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of June 15 2026?$-175

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.376
HHI
575
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.1%
High (>55c)70.3%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 12:09:27 AM16 trades$1,0409 min
6/18/2026, 1:30:01 AM14 trades$9552 min
6/9/2026, 7:33:09 PM19 trades$8295 min
6/19/2026, 3:15:55 PM13 trades$6891 min
7/22/2026, 6:20:19 AM15 trades$6734 min
6/5/2026, 9:14:09 AM5 trades$6390 min
6/4/2026, 4:22:33 PM7 trades$6020 min
7/22/2026, 6:03:13 AM10 trades$5281 min
6/4/2026, 10:13:01 PM15 trades$5271 min
5/26/2026, 11:35:58 AM3 trades$5240 min
6/10/2026, 1:43:40 PM21 trades$5216 min
5/29/2026, 1:24:38 AM3 trades$5190 min
6/22/2026, 3:26:50 PM2 trades$5040 min
6/8/2026, 7:16:09 PM25 trades$4885 min
6/18/2026, 4:22:29 AM11 trades$4861 min
6/16/2026, 3:48:07 PM10 trades$4791 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:57 PM10 trades$4751 min
6/5/2026, 1:44:06 PM10 trades$4414 min
5/21/2026, 2:08:51 PM16 trades$4121 min
7/27/2026, 11:39:46 AM6 trades$4020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-28
06-08
06-12
06-22
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M18.1 / H70.3