@hotphysics

#2,894,92840

0xdbf39c59b0efa6060469ee5b6cc58f8a1f3994f0

~40d· 218 markets · 2253 tradesVol: $324,4672026-08-04 17:18:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (195/218)20/20
0.21x (win $470 / loss $2,262)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8540/15
Sortino -2.8240/10
$-0.0147 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 101 (218 markets)10/10
35/39 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 4150% of peak ($1,942 / $47)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 89%
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Whale
$122,170 invested
Consistent
35/39 profitable days
High Roller
$1,651/day
Win Streak
33 wins in a row

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#3,042$399Vol: $319,056
⚽ SPORTS#1,833,944$-1,139Vol: $5,217
📢 MENTIONS#92,073$-2Vol: $185
₿ CRYPTO#417,495$1Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-741
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$324,467
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
674B / 1579S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $3,897
Month
$10
Vol: $7,724
All Time
$-741
Vol: $324,467

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
195W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-741
Win Rate
89%
195W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-452

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275 (0.3708699585476837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$117
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$98
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)$59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 25?$19
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$12
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?$8
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 29?$5
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?$4
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)$4

Top Losers

Spread: Austria (-1.5)$-2,018
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5$-200
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 4?$-5
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
11.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
90%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)90% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule30 trades/day — high frequency2.9 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)98.5%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 5:32:57 AM21 trades$5,5032 min
7/9/2026, 12:01:14 AM38 trades$4,6665 min
6/21/2026, 3:31:55 AM31 trades$4,3756 min
6/11/2026, 3:01:07 AM55 trades$4,0275 min
6/16/2026, 3:31:12 AM43 trades$3,7304 min
6/7/2026, 2:00:57 AM54 trades$3,5205 min
7/23/2026, 5:31:13 AM20 trades$3,3492 min
6/19/2026, 2:30:53 AM26 trades$3,1566 min
6/28/2026, 2:01:19 AM15 trades$3,1114 min
6/5/2026, 1:36:42 AM10 trades$3,1114 min
6/11/2026, 3:31:18 AM23 trades$3,0305 min
6/6/2026, 1:33:51 AM8 trades$3,0076 min
6/18/2026, 3:31:37 AM41 trades$2,9631 min
6/28/2026, 11:21:49 PM9 trades$2,9579 min
7/13/2026, 4:01:01 AM24 trades$2,7631 min
6/9/2026, 1:30:52 AM30 trades$2,6891 min
6/10/2026, 3:01:06 AM41 trades$2,6017 min
6/25/2026, 1:01:13 AM10 trades$2,5791 min
6/20/2026, 4:01:02 AM38 trades$2,4313 min
7/27/2026, 3:01:21 AM4 trades$2,3980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
06-09
06-15
06-21
06-28
07-11
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M0.4 / H98.5