@hottalk
#3,001,023300x3811f98a978b76b02fa0d6068bfd308a3c3fb304
~20d· 27 markets · 540 tradesVol: $224,6212026-08-05 04:11:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
82% (14/17)20/20
0.51x (win $335 / loss $656)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7910/15
Sortino -2.9070/10
$-0.0140 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5542 (17 markets)0/10
9/12 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 325% of peak ($634 / $195)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 82%
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 29.8 entries/market
Consistent
9/12 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,763$-2,272Vol: $184,886
🎭 CULTURE#697,436$-12Vol: $17,242
⚽ SPORTS#1,484,479$-23Vol: $15,394
📈 ECONOMICS#10,160$142Vol: $4,057
₿ CRYPTO#138,653$41Vol: $2,291
💰 FINANCE#494,852$-2Vol: $610
💻 TECH#21,112$7Vol: $117
🌤️ WEATHER#166,480$-0Vol: $23
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$224,621
Total Redeem
$933
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
245B / 295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,119
Vol: $224,621
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
82%
14W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-2,119
Win Rate
82%
14W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-219
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (0.11419699193476077% of PnL)
Top Winners
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$120
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$74
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$21
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$8
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$7
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$2
Top Losers
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-608
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-17
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.140
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
4234
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
67.2%
Half-Kelly
33.6%
Top-1 market
64.3%
Top-5 markets
81.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)82.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)16.7%
Sessions
#124/9/2026, 2:06:07 PM86 trades$5,33948 min
4/9/2026, 1:06:59 PM33 trades$5,00017 min
4/8/2026, 7:54:49 PM7 trades$2,0573 min
2/26/2026, 5:19:10 PM4 trades$1,7442 min
12/17/2025, 2:00:22 PM6 trades$1,6222 min
6/17/2026, 1:35:59 AM6 trades$1,2584 min
4/8/2026, 7:15:21 PM4 trades$1,1186 min
4/17/2026, 8:49:02 AM2 trades$9300 min
1/29/2026, 4:12:48 PM2 trades$9041 min
11/6/2025, 11:13:07 AM3 trades$8652 min
4/9/2026, 3:18:51 PM6 trades$8520 min
4/9/2026, 12:27:37 PM22 trades$80931 min
4/9/2026, 4:52:31 AM7 trades$6363 min
3/28/2026, 9:40:57 AM2 trades$6290 min
4/8/2026, 4:30:31 PM16 trades$50016 min
6/17/2026, 5:24:10 PM1 trades$4870 min
4/8/2026, 3:44:07 PM14 trades$45719 min
7/31/2026, 3:06:21 AM8 trades$4060 min
4/8/2026, 10:22:47 AM10 trades$3922 min
4/8/2026, 8:53:13 AM15 trades$3728 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
12-17
02-26
03-28
04-09
05-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.9 / M0.4 / H16.7