hs1414

@hs1414

#2,714,40736

0x64448352d47b43b103afa194aa1e2991c9d5d1cf

~22d· 60 markets · 172 tradesVol: $46,988 @zhengzhengtaba2026-08-05 03:22:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (25/60)5.8/20
1.05x (win $163 / loss $155)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.61211.5/15
Sortino 1.38910/10
$+0.0537 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 2219 (60 markets)1.4/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($40 / $46)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#283,592$-89Vol: $35,264
CRYPTO#1,486,280$-112Vol: $11,669
📈 ECONOMICS#350,001$-0Vol: $36
🏛️ POLITICS#1,042,518$-3Vol: $9
SPORTS#918,259$-1Vol: $8
💰 FINANCE#200,913$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,988
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
73B / 99S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $31
Week
$-15
Vol: $178
Month
$-7
Vol: $223
All Time
$-204
Vol: $46,988

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
25W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
42%
25W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75 (0.37041787952044997% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 9?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-10
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.067
HHI
251
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
17.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4197s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37%
Mid (20-55c)46.6%
High (>55c)16.4%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 7:48:55 AM21 trades$3,3411 min
7/17/2026, 5:36:19 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/14/2026, 5:42:31 AM2 trades$3330 min
7/9/2026, 11:33:10 AM19 trades$1675 min
7/2/2026, 4:01:49 AM4 trades$380 min
7/2/2026, 7:24:11 AM2 trades$330 min
7/2/2026, 2:32:10 PM3 trades$280 min
7/9/2026, 11:24:32 AM4 trades$270 min
7/10/2026, 6:14:04 AM3 trades$200 min
7/2/2026, 6:36:50 AM3 trades$200 min
7/10/2026, 6:20:38 AM3 trades$170 min
7/3/2026, 4:05:01 PM2 trades$170 min
7/9/2026, 11:11:38 AM6 trades$140 min
7/2/2026, 11:06:14 AM3 trades$140 min
7/2/2026, 5:12:08 PM2 trades$140 min
7/2/2026, 3:26:47 AM2 trades$140 min
7/8/2026, 6:59:49 PM3 trades$130 min
7/11/2026, 4:11:13 AM9 trades$111 min
7/2/2026, 1:34:53 AM2 trades$110 min
7/2/2026, 9:35:11 AM2 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
11-17
01-16
07-03
07-09
07-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.87/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37 / M46.6 / H16.4