@hugomaduro

#2,457,47589

0x4baaea6577b54edb34f66dfef72672c262a35461

~54d· 118 markets · 320 tradesVol: $5,2602026-08-04 23:02:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (63/104)15.3/20
2.06x (win $849 / loss $411)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.64815/15
Sortino 13.97710/10
$+0.2168 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 497 (104 markets)10/10
21/42 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($111 / $437)8.9/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

9
SPORTS#192,573$34Vol: $1,821
🏛️ POLITICS#1,478,741$-57Vol: $1,524
CRYPTO#1,373,041$-45Vol: $597
📈 ECONOMICS#585,306$-7Vol: $370
💰 FINANCE#598,414$-21Vol: $311
💻 TECH#8,929$46Vol: $245
🎭 CULTURE#45,394$23Vol: $190
📢 MENTIONS#154,469$-43Vol: $129
🌤️ WEATHER#55,647$1Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,260
Total Redeem
$57
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
181B / 139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-72
Vol: $5,260

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
63W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-72
Win Rate
61%
63W / 41L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $366 (5.076228825326299% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$200
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$114
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$51
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$35
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$33
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$23
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$23
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$19

Top Losers

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?$-50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$-30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-20
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
0.632
HHI
564
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.229
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
35.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)61.3%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 3:18:36 PM24 trades$2269 min
5/5/2026, 7:11:56 AM6 trades$1801 min
7/7/2026, 1:34:44 PM20 trades$1454 min
4/14/2026, 8:41:23 AM2 trades$1410 min
6/2/2026, 8:56:21 AM4 trades$1363 min
7/9/2026, 9:55:22 AM3 trades$1200 min
5/13/2026, 11:02:10 AM8 trades$1131 min
6/23/2026, 7:12:56 AM14 trades$1041 min
6/24/2026, 8:19:44 PM10 trades$946 min
3/31/2026, 9:10:21 PM8 trades$852 min
6/21/2026, 7:51:35 PM10 trades$811 min
7/14/2026, 10:23:52 AM5 trades$760 min
1/8/2026, 1:51:10 PM2 trades$681 min
6/22/2026, 6:41:50 AM10 trades$662 min
5/5/2026, 1:44:08 PM8 trades$651 min
4/12/2026, 6:15:11 PM4 trades$651 min
4/15/2026, 4:01:22 PM4 trades$611 min
3/18/2026, 2:41:49 PM17 trades$605 min
1/8/2026, 1:01:33 PM6 trades$574 min
6/24/2026, 10:20:37 PM6 trades$571 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
01-30
02-24
03-31
05-07
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M24.3 / H61.3