@icymud

#2,880,22735

0x8297f38ebaa1a92702dac88addfd59d964c5d600

~57d· 174 markets · 2985 tradesVol: $93,1602026-08-05 01:00:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (111/173)17.1/20
0.79x (win $5,327 / loss $6,712)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4620/15
Sortino -1.6150/10
$-0.0595 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 185 (173 markets)10/10
34/54 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 870% of peak ($2,593 / $298)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Consistent
34/54 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#296,296$-643Vol: $92,581
CRYPTO#334,263$3Vol: $579

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,160
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
1233B / 1752S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$14
Vol: $27
Month
$18
Vol: $27
All Time
$-640
Vol: $93,160

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
111W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-640
Win Rate
64%
111W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-116

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,215 (1.8963541260051524% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 25?$436
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 10?$413
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 30?$366
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?$286
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?$246
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?$243
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$224
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?$215
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?$209
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 11?$196

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?$-880
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?$-815
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?$-757
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?$-458
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?$-291
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?$-247
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?$-241
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 9?$-217
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?$-206
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?$-197

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
22.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.6m
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.23
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)62.8%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 6:05:49 AM79 trades$1,1917 min
5/4/2026, 6:44:52 AM74 trades$1,1896 min
4/26/2026, 11:08:14 AM40 trades$1,1169 min
4/28/2026, 5:31:58 AM3 trades$9620 min
4/27/2026, 3:09:36 AM43 trades$84825 min
4/27/2026, 4:58:44 AM46 trades$80412 min
5/1/2026, 4:05:18 AM82 trades$7819 min
5/11/2026, 7:09:11 AM38 trades$6911 min
7/9/2026, 10:33:05 PM16 trades$6661 min
5/9/2026, 5:02:10 AM49 trades$6444 min
4/25/2026, 1:47:52 AM68 trades$63829 min
4/30/2026, 4:32:02 AM15 trades$6086 min
5/4/2026, 12:36:16 AM40 trades$60515 min
7/10/2026, 7:57:25 PM24 trades$5996 min
4/26/2026, 5:11:50 AM29 trades$5931 min
7/10/2026, 12:26:37 AM5 trades$5260 min
6/5/2026, 6:53:21 AM6 trades$5231 min
6/4/2026, 10:38:42 PM20 trades$5048 min
7/9/2026, 3:10:31 PM20 trades$4242 min
4/24/2026, 4:00:16 AM14 trades$4102 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
04-25
05-04
05-27
06-11
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M23.1 / H62.8