@inflationwastransient
#2,811,637270x777e13d672be981299289a69ab7145db17a60050
~17d· 19 markets · 169 tradesVol: $20,4092026-08-04 18:17:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (8/14)13.6/20
0.08x (win $38 / loss $466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1630/15
Sortino -5.8720/10
$-0.1119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1106 (14 markets)7/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($444 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,661$-140Vol: $15,689
📈 ECONOMICS#290,356$-0Vol: $2,041
💰 FINANCE#641,699$-196Vol: $1,691
⚽ SPORTS#1,573,290$-44Vol: $549
💻 TECH#22,768$6Vol: $420
🎭 CULTURE#183,499$1Vol: $19
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,409
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
80B / 89S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-373
Vol: $20,409
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
8W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-373
Win Rate
57%
8W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-116
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (0.07830325103101066% of PnL)
Top Winners
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$3
Will Trump visit China by May 8?$2
Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?$0
Top Losers
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$-419
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-27
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$-18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.308
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
510
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
42%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 586s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)35%
Sessions
#124/3/2026, 4:26:31 PM20 trades$1,8050 min
4/2/2026, 3:04:47 AM28 trades$9370 min
7/20/2026, 11:47:39 PM7 trades$6752 min
4/16/2026, 1:00:32 PM12 trades$5970 min
4/1/2026, 11:06:31 PM2 trades$5110 min
4/3/2026, 5:08:45 PM2 trades$5100 min
4/19/2026, 6:18:54 PM1 trades$2950 min
4/18/2026, 5:44:32 PM1 trades$2950 min
4/16/2026, 8:17:44 PM1 trades$2920 min
3/18/2026, 9:04:45 AM1 trades$2360 min
4/3/2026, 2:44:55 PM15 trades$1815 min
4/6/2026, 12:03:11 PM2 trades$1530 min
3/28/2026, 4:33:55 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/6/2026, 6:21:29 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/19/2026, 7:19:48 AM1 trades$980 min
4/16/2026, 5:35:30 PM1 trades$970 min
4/5/2026, 1:16:35 PM1 trades$950 min
4/4/2026, 3:03:27 AM1 trades$860 min
4/3/2026, 4:14:31 PM2 trades$831 min
6/2/2026, 4:55:35 PM3 trades$780 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-09
03-18
03-28
04-03
04-04
04-16
04-18
04-19
06-02
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35 / M30 / H35