ironic.

@ironic.

#3,054,08828

0xddef938e05553aef2f6caee46b6dbe2c41ded52b

~62d· 417 markets · 14861 tradesVol: $869,4882026-08-06 07:01:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (240/403)14.8/20
0.99x (win $93,928 / loss $94,424)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0300/15
Sortino -0.0530/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 307 (403 markets)10/10
17/53 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($41,598 / $38,881)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 37.3 entries/market
Whale
$318,116 invested
High Roller
$1,420/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,689$-472Vol: $289,314
SPORTS#1,877,063$-8,424Vol: $212,170
CRYPTO#1,588,428$-466Vol: $131,762
🎭 CULTURE#791,204$-156Vol: $93,504
💰 FINANCE#656,761$-1,990Vol: $84,341
📈 ECONOMICS#2,413$1,470Vol: $22,324
💻 TECH#1,510$906Vol: $12,051
🌤️ WEATHER#264,843$-24Vol: $2,570
📢 MENTIONS#125,519$-9Vol: $1,312

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$869,488
Total Redeem
$112
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
417
total markets
Trades
5052B / 9809S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-38
Vol: $469
Week
$15
Vol: $2,376
Month
$15
Vol: $2,376
All Time
$-7,066
Vol: $869,488

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
241W / 162L events
Realized PnL
$-7,066
Win Rate
60%
241W / 162L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$391
Avg Loss
$-609

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52,405 (7.416499905179466% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$30,695
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$13,665
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$8,045
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$2,920
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2,410
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2,084
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner$1,762
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1,472
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,356
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1,161

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-17,467
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-11,320
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-10,315
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$-4,813
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-4,227
Knicks vs. Spurs$-2,707
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-2,540
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$-2,372
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$-2,335
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-1,877

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
402
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
8.9%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
36%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
66.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.8m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
116.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 5.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity66 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)77%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 2:15:19 AM6 trades$60,0001 min
5/2/2026, 5:28:28 PM332 trades$40,37332 min
5/23/2026, 8:52:16 PM45 trades$15,5457 min
5/23/2026, 9:32:41 PM73 trades$14,5038 min
5/23/2026, 8:31:02 PM64 trades$14,1933 min
5/4/2026, 5:53:22 AM167 trades$11,5939 min
5/24/2026, 5:32:21 PM21 trades$11,5451 min
5/23/2026, 9:22:41 PM66 trades$11,1753 min
5/18/2026, 7:51:36 PM2 trades$9,4500 min
6/14/2026, 9:10:54 PM18 trades$8,7486 min
6/13/2026, 9:02:12 PM35 trades$8,7093 min
6/15/2026, 5:25:25 AM12 trades$8,6523 min
4/11/2026, 4:50:25 AM66 trades$8,3938 min
5/23/2026, 6:34:48 PM27 trades$8,3373 min
5/18/2026, 9:04:19 PM3 trades$8,1130 min
5/24/2026, 6:45:03 PM18 trades$7,6900 min
4/7/2026, 1:52:47 AM120 trades$7,6434 min
5/3/2026, 6:24:14 PM490 trades$7,58046 min
6/14/2026, 9:40:34 PM20 trades$7,4677 min
6/14/2026, 5:56:12 AM8 trades$7,3581 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
04-12
05-03
05-13
05-21
05-30
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M16.4 / H77