@ironstorm

#141,80197

0xebb4ac7a0eb77e9976a30c382552bbf5d4691576

~72d· 34 markets · 151 tradesVol: $3,2722026-08-04 22:42:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (24/30)20/20
9.73x (win $288 / loss $30)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.83615/15
Sortino 64.55510/10
$+0.2481 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1014 (30 markets)7.4/10
21/23 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($21 / $259)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+318
Consistent
21/23 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
💻 TECH#6,362$89Vol: $1,241
💰 FINANCE#13,694$167Vol: $1,241
🏛️ POLITICS#70,816$82Vol: $490
🎭 CULTURE#695,448$-11Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$318
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,272
Total Redeem
$106
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
86B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$318
Vol: $3,272

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
24W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$318
Win Rate
80%
24W / 6L
Profit Factor
9.73x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $163 (0.5130659278382973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$78
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$52
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?$33
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?$30
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?$22
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$10
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?$7
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?$7
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$6

Top Losers

Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-11
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?$-8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?$-5
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?$-4
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?$-1
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.555
Sortino
44.198
HHI
734
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.266
Kelly %
41.3%
Half-Kelly
20.7%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
52.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
50.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3038s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.2%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
12/3/2025, 8:53:21 PM1 trades$1960 min
8/15/2025, 4:32:20 PM3 trades$1925 min
8/15/2025, 5:14:12 PM2 trades$1674 min
8/6/2025, 12:36:34 PM1 trades$1190 min
11/21/2025, 10:27:15 AM1 trades$1020 min
8/5/2025, 2:24:50 AM1 trades$600 min
10/31/2025, 3:48:43 AM2 trades$522 min
8/24/2025, 3:33:55 PM1 trades$450 min
9/12/2025, 2:48:11 PM3 trades$355 min
5/30/2026, 5:54:18 AM9 trades$352 min
10/14/2025, 12:22:47 AM2 trades$343 min
8/5/2025, 3:11:00 AM1 trades$320 min
8/16/2025, 11:34:12 AM1 trades$310 min
6/12/2026, 10:13:04 AM6 trades$301 min
3/30/2026, 11:52:00 AM1 trades$280 min
3/25/2026, 2:06:11 PM1 trades$270 min
6/19/2026, 2:52:17 AM1 trades$250 min
7/15/2026, 5:55:56 PM8 trades$241 min
11/21/2025, 10:19:41 AM1 trades$240 min
12/4/2024, 4:35:38 PM1 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
05-09
08-06
08-23
10-13
11-05
03-30
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M37.2 / H52.3