@ivanliew85

#39,03885

0x26c5e927e3ed73c6e24304fb8b7f8c537e5cee21

~266d· 488 markets · 2623 tradesVol: $489,1412026-08-04 22:48:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (334/485)19.4/20
1.78x (win $9,883 / loss $5,541)12.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.48815/15
Sortino 5.74910/10
$+0.0135 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 85 (485 markets)10/10
154/187 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($1,478 / $4,342)7.2/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+2,900
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$321,209 invested
Consistent
154/187 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#35,932$728Vol: $304,906
🎭 CULTURE#7,180$581Vol: $98,633
💰 FINANCE#3,515$1,257Vol: $70,486
🏛️ POLITICS#118,691$27Vol: $3,759
💻 TECH#5,836$104Vol: $1,034
📈 ECONOMICS#40,057$11Vol: $191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,900
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$489,141
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
488
total markets
Trades
1518B / 1105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~266d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $3,421
Week
$14
Vol: $4,076
Month
$13
Vol: $4,076
All Time
$2,900
Vol: $489,141

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
334W / 151L events
Realized PnL
$2,900
Win Rate
69%
334W / 151L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,146 (0.7399758620689656% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$768
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$746
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$632
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$525
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$239
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$228
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$194
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$193
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$170

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?$-669
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 13?$-352
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?$-279
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?$-223
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-192
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-164
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?$-149
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25?$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?$-124
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-121

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.182
Sortino
0.150
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)65%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 3:28:45 PM9 trades$6,0594 min
6/8/2026, 12:46:04 AM12 trades$5,4941 min
5/21/2025, 9:11:17 AM3 trades$4,5005 min
6/14/2026, 3:28:12 AM13 trades$4,3895 min
5/27/2026, 9:29:33 AM4 trades$4,0662 min
8/4/2026, 1:49:15 PM7 trades$4,0424 min
5/19/2025, 2:18:59 PM48 trades$3,6172 min
4/24/2026, 1:19:30 AM7 trades$3,0001 min
7/30/2026, 3:10:39 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
5/1/2025, 4:43:39 AM1 trades$2,8760 min
7/30/2026, 8:45:15 AM12 trades$2,7140 min
10/29/2025, 6:05:27 AM1 trades$2,6400 min
10/27/2025, 1:13:49 AM2 trades$2,6302 min
10/26/2025, 5:39:05 AM2 trades$2,6272 min
10/24/2025, 12:54:33 AM3 trades$2,6191 min
5/8/2025, 8:53:57 PM9 trades$2,61814 min
10/23/2025, 12:31:17 AM2 trades$2,6151 min
10/16/2025, 9:32:37 AM2 trades$2,5893 min
4/9/2025, 7:25:18 AM2 trades$2,5813 min
10/13/2025, 3:11:23 AM1 trades$2,5750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
05-19
10-10
11-24
01-20
04-04
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M11.1 / H65