ivanx4k

@ivanx4k

#46,45788

0x900e3c7bc26b51dfd607cd152e8ffadbe11aa4d3

~275d· 648 markets · 10385 tradesVol: $3,082,591 @SalasManito4k2026-08-03 16:50:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (446/625)20/20
2.13x (win $67,089 / loss $31,541)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.82515/15
Sortino 5.12310/10
$+0.0208 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 109 (625 markets)10/10
155/215 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($12,813 / $35,548)6.8/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+2,316
DCA Master
Avg 16.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,708,130 invested
Consistent
155/215 profitable days
High Roller
$6,144/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#40,023$588Vol: $1,760,849
🏛️ POLITICS#15,963$1,201Vol: $585,963
SPORTS#79,648$248Vol: $285,493
💰 FINANCE#8,605$360Vol: $210,700
📈 ECONOMICS#8,133$204Vol: $161,415
🎭 CULTURE#777,468$-90Vol: $36,517
💻 TECH#163,962$-0Vol: $11,334
📢 MENTIONS#170,410$-266Vol: $8,875
🌤️ WEATHER#17,644$17Vol: $618

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,082,591
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
648
total markets
Trades
5603B / 4782S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $350
Week
$2
Vol: $724
Month
$30
Vol: $857
All Time
$2,316
Vol: $3,082,591

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
446W / 179L events
Realized PnL
$2,316
Win Rate
71%
446W / 179L
Profit Factor
2.13x
Avg Win
$150
Avg Loss
$-183

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,373 (6.205614538044065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$8,723
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,877
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,773
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$2,566
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$2,554
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$2,375
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$2,242
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2,183
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,026
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$1,830

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-7,415
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$-3,250
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,006
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-2,424
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-2,066
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-1,831
US government shutdown Saturday?$-1,775
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,359
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$-660
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-611

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.147
Sortino
0.151
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 8:39:13 PM7 trades$5,2631 min
3/16/2026, 10:05:21 PM5 trades$5,1789 min
1/26/2026, 3:36:33 PM51 trades$4,92843 min
3/30/2026, 4:52:09 PM26 trades$4,71239 min
2/24/2026, 3:31:58 PM37 trades$4,63830 min
1/13/2026, 11:19:52 PM3 trades$4,5675 min
1/11/2026, 7:18:46 PM16 trades$4,54815 min
6/14/2026, 9:40:39 PM9 trades$4,48110 min
1/28/2026, 5:19:54 PM74 trades$4,48159 min
1/27/2026, 9:10:15 PM9 trades$4,3404 min
2/28/2026, 8:02:27 PM8 trades$4,2498 min
2/18/2026, 10:55:58 PM3 trades$3,9525 min
4/17/2026, 8:06:14 PM16 trades$3,9346 min
2/19/2026, 4:49:14 PM2 trades$3,9293 min
4/23/2026, 5:40:46 PM4 trades$3,8628 min
6/4/2026, 12:52:58 AM9 trades$3,8122 min
4/30/2026, 12:34:24 AM15 trades$3,7787 min
3/17/2026, 12:00:51 AM5 trades$3,62710 min
1/28/2026, 10:43:18 PM36 trades$3,53441 min
1/5/2026, 11:37:55 PM3 trades$3,5233 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
12-08
02-02
03-12
04-24
06-10
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 109 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M2.4 / H96.4