@iwasmugen

#3,036,1856

0xa2dd739b2d2a27ad075dc886de18d7d22b4cd9b8

~53d· 87 markets · 473 tradesVol: $189,0232026-08-04 22:40:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (20/81)0/20
0.41x (win $3,998 / loss $9,850)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8560/15
Sortino -5.3560/10
$-0.2726 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1462 (81 markets)5.2/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 1002% of peak ($7,836 / $782)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#682,389$-5,490Vol: $143,577
🏛️ POLITICS#10,018$2,533Vol: $29,132
⚽ SPORTS#1,817,458$-788Vol: $10,211
🎭 CULTURE#798,819$-263Vol: $5,789
₿ CRYPTO#1,424,816$-68Vol: $259
💰 FINANCE#70,313$6Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,070
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,023
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
263B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$430
Vol: $0
Week
$640
Vol: $0
Month
$755
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,070
Vol: $189,023

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
20W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-4,070
Win Rate
25%
20W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$200
Avg Loss
$-246

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,495 (0.8587925993267648% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,235
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,202
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$1,058
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$135
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$133
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$55
Will Senegal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$37
US military action against Iran before July?$34
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-3,163
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-1,700
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-800
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-639
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-621
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-600
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-300
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-280
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-280
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.247
Sortino
-0.269
HHI
781
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.366
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
51.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 3.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.6%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)18.3%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 12:17:14 AM29 trades$15,8511 min
7/30/2026, 1:14:38 PM8 trades$4,0581 min
6/25/2026, 1:27:58 PM5 trades$2,5212 min
6/11/2026, 6:23:01 PM7 trades$2,0112 min
6/27/2026, 1:38:49 PM2 trades$1,8590 min
6/19/2026, 9:35:10 PM40 trades$1,19711 min
7/27/2026, 7:06:04 PM8 trades$1,1411 min
7/28/2026, 4:10:40 PM2 trades$8670 min
2/28/2026, 11:14:21 AM3 trades$8162 min
6/15/2026, 6:57:49 PM18 trades$7766 min
6/16/2026, 2:36:21 AM8 trades$7628 min
7/20/2026, 8:36:10 PM6 trades$6390 min
6/13/2026, 4:55:15 PM5 trades$6330 min
1/10/2026, 12:45:30 PM11 trades$5007 min
3/12/2026, 11:45:37 PM2 trades$5000 min
1/8/2026, 2:13:44 PM4 trades$4443 min
4/28/2026, 2:31:50 PM13 trades$3592 min
6/15/2026, 9:35:19 PM39 trades$3167 min
6/15/2026, 7:17:57 PM14 trades$3145 min
6/25/2026, 9:13:17 PM13 trades$3064 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
01-08
02-23
03-04
06-15
06-23
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.6 / M28.1 / H18.3