@jace711
#74,675400x497c53b17b59fb29d6edf44c3e366eb29965eccb
~8d· 63 markets · 175 tradesVol: $403,2482026-08-03 16:51:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (25/63)4.8/20
1.08x (win $972 / loss $900)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75314.1/15
Sortino 1.50610/10
$+0.0340 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1298 (63 markets)6/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 89% of peak ($576 / $648)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+1,154
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,579$-74Vol: $391,472
₿ CRYPTO#74,931$149Vol: $8,904
🌤️ WEATHER#1,537$1,078Vol: $2,827
💻 TECH#46,959$1Vol: $44
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,154
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$403,248
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
115B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,154
Vol: $403,248
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
25W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$1,154
Win Rate
40%
25W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-24
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $664 (0.5747773658130912% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$570
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4AM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8AM ET$19
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-96
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-64
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6AM ET$-53
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-30
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.088
HHI
634
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
19.4%
Half-Kelly
9.7%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
40.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 356s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.3%
Mid (20-55c)53.9%
High (>55c)14.8%
Sessions
#127/4/2026, 11:33:05 PM10 trades$1,8250 min
12/22/2025, 11:27:25 AM1 trades$6700 min
12/22/2025, 9:02:51 AM10 trades$3006 min
12/23/2025, 11:18:45 AM3 trades$1573 min
12/20/2025, 11:33:47 PM1 trades$1330 min
12/21/2025, 5:01:33 PM1 trades$1240 min
12/21/2025, 5:18:25 PM1 trades$1240 min
12/25/2025, 11:46:55 PM2 trades$1125 min
12/22/2025, 10:13:11 PM5 trades$1016 min
12/22/2025, 11:18:07 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/22/2025, 9:40:21 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/26/2025, 1:20:53 AM2 trades$962 min
12/23/2025, 12:27:47 AM1 trades$950 min
12/23/2025, 2:07:23 AM5 trades$858 min
12/20/2025, 9:24:49 PM1 trades$810 min
12/21/2025, 11:21:47 AM1 trades$780 min
12/24/2025, 10:04:13 AM3 trades$763 min
12/26/2025, 12:10:07 AM1 trades$750 min
12/24/2025, 4:36:55 PM4 trades$754 min
12/22/2025, 11:36:45 AM2 trades$732 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
12-22
12-23
12-24
12-25
12-26
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 194 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.3 / M53.9 / H14.8