@jhonarias

#3,067,13421

0x2ec2ba4ded5dd4fbbf61ee888cef95704872aebb

~24d· 50 markets · 590 tradesVol: $1,026,2832026-08-04 22:09:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (20/50)5/20
0.76x (win $86,420 / loss $113,543)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4600/15
Sortino -3.0400/10
$-0.1322 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 396 (50 markets)10/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($41,528 / $14,406)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Whale
$205,193 invested

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,880,497$-19,535Vol: $1,016,369
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,910$-744Vol: $9,914

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,026,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
218B / 372S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
20W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-20,279
Win Rate
40%
20W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$4,321
Avg Loss
$-3,915

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,067 (1.6306449536972887% of PnL)

Top Winners

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$15,038
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10,262
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?$7,767
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)$6,866
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?$6,749
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?$6,397
Will SC Internacional vs. Santos FC end in a draw?$6,076
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$4,327
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$4,169
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?$3,311

Top Losers

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-15,254
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-13,261
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-12,784
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) $-8,853
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-5,979
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-5,762
Will Flamengo beat LAFC?$-5,675
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?$-4,985
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?$-4,929
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$-3,931

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.126
Sortino
-0.160
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.4m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)42.7%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 9:44:23 PM85 trades$27,4108 min
7/4/2025, 4:27:55 PM2 trades$21,3130 min
7/5/2026, 9:26:16 PM53 trades$20,1295 min
6/21/2025, 5:51:52 PM1 trades$18,3640 min
6/25/2026, 9:12:35 PM35 trades$16,8349 min
6/26/2026, 2:11:16 AM8 trades$13,2490 min
7/1/2026, 8:03:17 PM25 trades$12,6905 min
6/25/2026, 9:00:25 PM51 trades$11,5917 min
6/25/2025, 6:45:31 PM1 trades$10,2260 min
7/3/2026, 7:25:16 PM2 trades$10,1590 min
6/25/2026, 10:12:44 PM2 trades$9,9430 min
7/3/2026, 8:14:26 PM9 trades$8,8414 min
7/3/2026, 8:27:53 PM13 trades$8,7543 min
6/24/2025, 11:31:39 PM2 trades$8,4472 min
7/4/2025, 1:36:29 PM3 trades$7,9912 min
7/8/2025, 1:49:03 PM2 trades$7,8130 min
6/25/2025, 1:05:49 AM18 trades$7,75419 min
6/25/2025, 4:03:29 PM2 trades$7,7541 min
11/2/2025, 6:41:43 PM6 trades$7,4135 min
6/26/2026, 2:39:44 AM30 trades$7,2831 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-30
11-02
11-15
11-24
12-10
07-01
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 367 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22 / M42.7 / H35.3