joember

@joember

#3,039,69634

0xa03201c619f89158f3e57f48bf0304cf70a7679e

~94d· 843 markets · 7879 tradesVol: $244,3102026-08-04 19:00:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (462/734)16.5/20
0.59x (win $18,979 / loss $32,204)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5370/15
Sortino -1.5610/10
$-0.1416 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 375 (734 markets)10/10
45/75 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 376% of peak ($22,069 / $5,877)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 63%
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$93,378 invested
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,665$-3,636Vol: $196,131
CRYPTO#1,606,755$-704Vol: $31,239
📈 ECONOMICS#660,938$-104Vol: $7,180
SPORTS#1,685,370$-105Vol: $4,813
🎭 CULTURE#733,381$-24Vol: $312
💰 FINANCE#537,888$-4Vol: $149
🌤️ WEATHER#39,036$3Vol: $115
💻 TECH#198,531$-2Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,558
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$244,310
Total Redeem
$3,194
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
843
total markets
Trades
2856B / 5023S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$151
Vol: $1,003
Week
$73
Vol: $7,553
Month
$363
Vol: $9,879
All Time
$-4,558
Vol: $244,310

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
461W / 272L events
Realized PnL
$-4,558
Win Rate
63%
461W / 272L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,538 (0.9954566395366694% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,767
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,731
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1,040
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$955
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$861
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$800
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$619
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$573
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$561
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$554

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-16,403
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,484
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-1,846
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$-1,036
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-768
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$-511
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-433
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-256
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-233
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-193

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
740
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
52.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
67.3
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.8m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock67 trades/day — mass trading7.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 10:36:16 PM43 trades$5,2213 min
6/12/2026, 11:24:40 AM16 trades$5,0263 min
6/6/2026, 2:15:57 PM6 trades$4,0000 min
6/14/2026, 1:20:07 PM21 trades$3,37712 min
5/14/2026, 8:25:17 PM331 trades$2,96595 min
6/3/2026, 7:56:55 AM9 trades$2,5220 min
6/12/2026, 12:19:34 PM49 trades$2,34914 min
4/12/2026, 7:51:15 PM15 trades$2,3381 min
5/14/2026, 6:05:20 PM302 trades$2,287133 min
4/17/2026, 5:48:50 AM13 trades$2,2201 min
6/13/2026, 2:05:07 PM27 trades$2,14612 min
6/18/2026, 6:53:49 AM10 trades$2,1413 min
6/10/2026, 5:25:15 AM11 trades$2,0996 min
6/2/2026, 8:07:46 PM9 trades$1,9930 min
6/17/2026, 6:44:44 AM10 trades$1,8842 min
6/12/2026, 2:44:21 PM29 trades$1,8492 min
6/12/2026, 5:23:04 PM18 trades$1,7683 min
6/15/2026, 7:33:10 AM24 trades$1,7283 min
4/30/2026, 7:31:18 AM233 trades$1,68358 min
6/12/2026, 4:45:09 PM7 trades$1,6465 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
05-16
05-30
06-14
06-26
07-09
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.5 / M11.2 / H83.3