@johnlansford3949
#67,717800x3d3cf99a0c556d7be1bf5510ff9b8f05c339e797
~59d· 52 markets · 379 tradesVol: $170,3102026-08-04 23:02:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (35/48)20/20
1.43x (win $23,446 / loss $16,434)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.40315/15
Sortino 7.89510/10
$+0.0592 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 900 (48 markets)8/10
16/24 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($3,864 / $10,408)6.6/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+1,379
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Whale
$118,365 invested
Consistent
16/24 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#15,453$1,270Vol: $162,435
📈 ECONOMICS#11,858$109Vol: $7,874
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$170,310
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
189B / 190S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d
Periods
#2Today
$-25
Vol: $0
Week
$-25
Vol: $400
Month
$-23
Vol: $426
All Time
$1,379
Vol: $170,310
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
35W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$1,379
Win Rate
73%
35W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$670
Avg Loss
$-1,264
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,580 (11.299696119173504% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$7,036
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,531
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,013
Iran leadership change by June 30?$1,610
Iran leadership change by April 30?$1,300
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$951
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$822
Iran leadership change by May 31?$690
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$530
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$468
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-11,910
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-2,182
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-722
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-471
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?$-296
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?$-293
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$-145
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$-100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-100
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
0.260
HHI
1121
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
64.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)97.4%
Sessions
#125/1/2026, 7:16:20 AM13 trades$9,5513 min
6/15/2026, 5:56:48 PM33 trades$9,5029 min
4/17/2026, 10:51:58 AM16 trades$9,3024 min
6/5/2026, 2:50:36 PM1 trades$8,9000 min
6/11/2026, 4:19:22 PM8 trades$7,0470 min
4/13/2026, 6:51:23 AM19 trades$7,0011 min
6/15/2026, 4:48:22 PM25 trades$5,5473 min
7/21/2026, 6:55:54 PM15 trades$5,2520 min
4/12/2026, 5:51:39 AM8 trades$5,2090 min
6/15/2026, 6:11:54 PM4 trades$5,0481 min
6/7/2026, 6:41:04 PM11 trades$4,6723 min
5/3/2026, 3:12:50 PM4 trades$3,8222 min
3/26/2026, 8:05:27 AM2 trades$3,7221 min
6/21/2026, 8:43:14 AM10 trades$3,7040 min
5/2/2026, 4:02:22 AM2 trades$3,4733 min
3/20/2026, 7:26:47 PM3 trades$3,2220 min
4/2/2026, 6:47:29 PM3 trades$3,1464 min
2/7/2026, 5:46:33 PM3 trades$3,0521 min
1/30/2026, 8:39:46 PM1 trades$2,8350 min
1/30/2026, 4:50:54 PM7 trades$2,7245 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
02-07
03-11
03-17
04-17
05-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M1.6 / H97.4