jon-doe

@jon-doe

#311,9779

0x6d8c4e9adf5748af82dabe2c6225207770d6b4fa

~104d· 116 markets · 235 tradesVol: $9,7182026-08-04 16:20:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (33/107)0.4/20
0.67x (win $166 / loss $249)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9880/15
Sortino -2.8640/10
$-0.0993 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 724 (107 markets)8.9/10
22/79 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 568% of peak ($122 / $21)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+51
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#80,164$129Vol: $4,867
🌤️ WEATHER#249,409$-12Vol: $1,052
📈 ECONOMICS#620,452$-17Vol: $968
⚽ SPORTS#1,569,837$-43Vol: $534
🏛️ POLITICS#264,220$3Vol: $452
🎭 CULTURE#617,817$-3Vol: $363
💰 FINANCE#29,225$40Vol: $339
📢 MENTIONS#129,424$-10Vol: $15
💻 TECH#202,220$-2Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,718
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
154B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $2
Month
$-2
Vol: $4
All Time
$51
Vol: $9,718

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
33W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$51
Win Rate
31%
33W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107 (2.0912984232042047% of PnL)

Top Winners

Government shutdown on Saturday?$43
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?$43
Will Milady outperform BAYC?$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$7
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11?$5
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$4
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 16?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3

Top Losers

Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$-47
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-20
Magic vs. Pistons$-20
Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 6?$-16
Trump and Biden both win nomination?$-15
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)$-11
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the debate?$-10
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 231.5$-9
Fed rate cut by May 1?$-7
US recession in 2025?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.144
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.144
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
32.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 578s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.1%
Mid (20-55c)41.6%
High (>55c)25.3%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 4:13:16 PM3 trades$4360 min
8/1/2023, 4:00:05 AM1 trades$1210 min
8/3/2023, 2:16:11 PM1 trades$740 min
4/20/2023, 11:14:48 PM1 trades$680 min
1/10/2024, 5:40:08 PM1 trades$540 min
5/3/2026, 8:31:52 PM6 trades$474 min
6/6/2026, 3:47:40 PM2 trades$360 min
10/15/2023, 6:51:32 PM3 trades$334 min
6/12/2026, 2:45:09 PM8 trades$250 min
1/9/2024, 4:18:36 PM2 trades$232 min
2/24/2024, 12:49:47 AM2 trades$211 min
10/16/2024, 1:34:17 AM1 trades$200 min
3/5/2024, 2:09:01 AM4 trades$203 min
1/10/2024, 5:46:34 PM2 trades$191 min
8/6/2024, 9:51:52 PM2 trades$171 min
6/6/2026, 6:15:45 AM1 trades$150 min
1/6/2026, 4:51:15 AM3 trades$127 min
5/6/2026, 4:21:06 PM2 trades$110 min
6/18/2026, 1:35:49 AM2 trades$110 min
1/10/2024, 1:40:44 AM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
08-07
05-21
09-08
12-16
03-17
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1024 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.1 / M41.6 / H25.3