junipero

@junipero

#2,878,25834

0x79797067582d11012e70acfc5a2e8b332580202f

~133d· 155 markets · 1595 tradesVol: $764,0412026-08-04 21:45:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (87/141)15.9/20
0.46x (win $6,684 / loss $14,504)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7230/15
Sortino -4.2050/10
$-0.1064 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 463 (141 markets)10/10
47/76 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 676% of peak ($9,381 / $1,388)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.9 entries/market
Whale
$73,532 invested
Consistent
47/76 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,811,504$-661Vol: $566,549
🎭 CULTURE#803,983$-416Vol: $55,194
🏛️ POLITICS#1,424,544$-32Vol: $49,371
₿ CRYPTO#32,141$911Vol: $35,244
💰 FINANCE#75,070$5Vol: $26,277
💻 TECH#89,538$0Vol: $9,942
📈 ECONOMICS#97,731$1Vol: $256

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-630
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$764,041
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
155
total markets
Trades
1046B / 549S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-630
Vol: $764,041

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
87W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-630
Win Rate
62%
87W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-290

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,432 (5.448538048826946% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?$1,853
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$890
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$690
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$674
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?$425
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$223
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$222
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$182
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score$174
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$151

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,974
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-1,496
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-1,419
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,200
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,200
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-900
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-840
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-835
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-700
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-660

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.194
Sortino
-0.169
HHI
401
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
32.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36%
Mid (20-55c)11.6%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 2:29:11 AM4 trades$2,9844 min
11/23/2025, 9:25:31 PM1 trades$2,8410 min
12/6/2025, 7:29:03 PM1 trades$2,5730 min
12/13/2025, 10:44:01 PM1 trades$2,5320 min
12/13/2025, 10:56:45 PM2 trades$2,5261 min
12/1/2025, 3:07:38 PM1 trades$2,4650 min
11/28/2025, 5:47:37 PM1 trades$2,4300 min
11/30/2025, 9:43:46 PM1 trades$2,4290 min
3/1/2026, 3:41:37 AM4 trades$2,3595 min
2/21/2026, 4:23:30 PM10 trades$2,26614 min
4/28/2026, 12:49:26 PM6 trades$2,0153 min
3/1/2026, 10:46:27 AM1 trades$1,8320 min
2/14/2026, 12:45:33 PM1 trades$1,5650 min
2/10/2026, 3:20:35 PM1 trades$1,5580 min
11/29/2025, 12:29:25 AM2 trades$1,5250 min
3/12/2026, 1:46:21 AM2 trades$1,5190 min
3/12/2026, 9:39:03 AM4 trades$1,5034 min
5/15/2026, 7:22:06 PM12 trades$1,3105 min
11/23/2025, 11:46:49 PM2 trades$1,2451 min
3/31/2026, 5:45:55 PM8 trades$1,2265 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
11-25
03-01
03-30
05-06
06-18
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36 / M11.6 / H52.4