@justagrosshopper
#220,651210x92691b0821dfa1219859f33148fb73417d052900
~68d· 145 markets · 442 tradesVol: $8,7122026-08-05 20:50:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (63/137)8/20
0.42x (win $569 / loss $1,347)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8770/15
Sortino -6.8960/10
$-0.2956 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 235 (137 markets)10/10
23/56 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 2621% of peak ($826 / $32)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+118
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#85,235$213Vol: $3,969
🌤️ WEATHER#244,805$-10Vol: $2,339
🎭 CULTURE#68,035$10Vol: $739
📈 ECONOMICS#205,430$0Vol: $280
📢 MENTIONS#132,427$-11Vol: $241
💻 TECH#27,207$4Vol: $90
🏛️ POLITICS#210,394$6Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$117
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,712
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
232B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$-6
Vol: $200
Week
$0
Vol: $580
Month
$23
Vol: $580
All Time
$117
Vol: $8,712
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
63W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$118
Win Rate
46%
63W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-24
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177 (1.4915139744997044% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?$69
Will Frenkie de Jong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$20
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$17
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$15
Spread: China PR (-1.5)$13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner$13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$13
Top Losers
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-131
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-123
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?$-88
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$-71
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-70
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-60
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$-55
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-47
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-47
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.357
Sortino
-0.361
HHI
289
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.271
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
28.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5067s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)66.8%
Sessions
#128/2/2026, 8:43:26 AM7 trades$2015 min
6/24/2026, 8:32:50 AM12 trades$1445 min
6/7/2026, 3:20:52 PM6 trades$1191 min
6/4/2026, 3:33:43 PM9 trades$1155 min
6/2/2026, 2:39:13 AM6 trades$1142 min
6/8/2026, 12:42:27 AM4 trades$1031 min
5/6/2026, 6:56:58 AM2 trades$1030 min
6/6/2026, 4:56:07 PM4 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 1:51:33 AM5 trades$1001 min
5/19/2026, 5:34:37 AM17 trades$873 min
5/25/2026, 10:29:04 AM1 trades$830 min
6/28/2026, 5:04:26 AM2 trades$800 min
7/15/2026, 11:56:08 AM2 trades$790 min
6/1/2026, 6:16:14 PM1 trades$740 min
6/23/2026, 3:40:47 PM6 trades$745 min
6/1/2026, 2:26:23 PM2 trades$710 min
6/1/2026, 5:14:41 AM3 trades$680 min
8/3/2026, 2:45:02 PM5 trades$651 min
5/28/2026, 1:57:20 AM2 trades$600 min
6/6/2026, 3:24:48 PM5 trades$572 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-12
05-28
06-12
06-21
07-03
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M19.8 / H66.8