@justinbeaver
#2,202540x86a29f88fcc23ea2b0e01b4e186b043e26c873a8
~205d· 14846 markets · 3216335 tradesVol: $48,257,6342026-08-04 16:19:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (7383/14846)9.9/20
1.03x (win $76,276 / loss $74,363)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.81215/15
Sortino 1.27410/10
$+0.0059 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 4 (14846 markets)10/10
107/200 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($3,371 / $4,066)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+86,884
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$326,224 invested
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1₿ CRYPTO#403$86,884Vol: $48,257,634
Overview
#1Net PnL
$86,884
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,257,634
Total Redeem
$51,972
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14846
total markets
Trades
49184B / 14724S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~205d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
9485W / 8702L events
Realized PnL
$86,884
Win Rate
52%
9485W / 8702L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,651 (0.019004509367073808% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$575
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$563
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?$513
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$436
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$425
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?$395
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$332
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$288
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$269
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$255
Top Losers
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?$-787
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$-768
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?$-410
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$-360
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$-310
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-294
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-252
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-228
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?$-227
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-224
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.056
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6961.8
Very active
Markets / Day
32.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
49 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.5
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6962 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)41.3%
Sessions
#1212/26/2025, 7:00:15 PM137 trades$1,737123 min
12/9/2025, 7:48:49 AM61 trades$1,11946 min
12/25/2025, 5:00:31 PM57 trades$1,02251 min
12/26/2025, 5:24:19 AM86 trades$99076 min
12/21/2025, 10:19:23 AM39 trades$92025 min
12/25/2025, 10:17:11 AM34 trades$90637 min
12/25/2025, 1:30:47 PM75 trades$85671 min
12/11/2025, 11:01:13 AM36 trades$81429 min
12/23/2025, 1:45:31 PM45 trades$78758 min
12/25/2025, 4:02:03 AM58 trades$77783 min
12/21/2025, 4:45:53 AM38 trades$73156 min
12/26/2025, 1:19:19 PM43 trades$72839 min
12/16/2025, 9:09:51 AM45 trades$72639 min
12/21/2025, 11:38:13 AM33 trades$71731 min
12/10/2025, 3:33:13 AM64 trades$70661 min
12/25/2025, 11:46:51 AM32 trades$67922 min
12/13/2025, 8:05:23 PM38 trades$67131 min
12/26/2025, 2:03:37 PM49 trades$64146 min
12/9/2025, 4:46:11 AM45 trades$62945 min
12/14/2025, 11:55:45 AM25 trades$62626 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
12-15
01-20
02-22
03-30
05-18
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M43.3 / H41.3