kafuchino

@kafuchino

#67,22419

0xefe91784bc6d82c3767956c08ef7f4564aa47aaa

~150d· 222 markets · 1542 tradesVol: $323,5302026-08-06 17:01:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (85/222)4.1/20
0.97x (win $17,629 / loss $18,202)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1270/15
Sortino -0.1600/10
$-0.0064 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 174 (222 markets)10/10
41/103 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 187% of peak ($6,404 / $3,424)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,398
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Whale
$88,749 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#25,663$1,709Vol: $148,480
CRYPTO#1,595,467$-532Vol: $107,243
💰 FINANCE#10,593$256Vol: $32,687
🏛️ POLITICS#32,443$362Vol: $22,136
📈 ECONOMICS#43,537$10Vol: $8,244
🎭 CULTURE#804,380$-407Vol: $4,739

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,398
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$323,530
Total Redeem
$896
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
655B / 887S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
85W / 137L events
Realized PnL
$1,398
Win Rate
38%
85W / 137L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$207
Avg Loss
$-147

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,419 (6.020357671488534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$4,663
Egypt leading at halftime?$2,599
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$1,157
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$751
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$705
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$620
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$500
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$457
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$415
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$386

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-6,382
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?$-1,079
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5$-797
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-775
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?$-595
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$-566
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-447
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-445
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?$-440
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?$-367

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
382
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
35.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1175s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)56.6%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:54:04 AM6 trades$5,9924 min
5/9/2026, 3:29:55 PM7 trades$4,9502 min
6/27/2026, 12:05:53 AM11 trades$4,7137 min
3/31/2026, 1:54:35 PM2 trades$4,2211 min
6/13/2026, 11:44:10 AM2 trades$3,8000 min
4/30/2026, 4:28:12 PM5 trades$3,7435 min
4/9/2026, 10:16:07 AM6 trades$3,3994 min
3/16/2026, 1:17:23 PM2 trades$3,2560 min
4/27/2026, 8:22:44 PM16 trades$3,2189 min
3/27/2026, 12:03:11 PM1 trades$2,8330 min
6/20/2026, 4:59:52 PM4 trades$2,7742 min
5/1/2026, 12:02:16 AM2 trades$2,6940 min
6/26/2026, 4:32:14 PM5 trades$2,5730 min
4/13/2026, 10:44:37 PM4 trades$2,5090 min
6/16/2026, 8:41:00 AM4 trades$2,5070 min
6/29/2026, 6:04:37 PM6 trades$2,4992 min
6/15/2026, 8:04:10 AM10 trades$2,4401 min
4/1/2026, 9:20:03 AM2 trades$2,3040 min
6/29/2026, 4:57:22 PM2 trades$2,1190 min
6/29/2026, 4:41:49 PM5 trades$2,0990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
02-14
03-17
04-16
05-26
06-20
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.9 / M7.5 / H56.6