@kageyuki
220xa8fa67aed008fd99268d60923032a914462277b5
~163d· 241 markets · 1880 trades2026-08-05 01:18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (126/237)11.6/20
0.57x (win $132,966 / loss $235,112)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6880/15
Sortino -3.0880/10
$-0.1290 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1504 (237 markets)5/10
59/116 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 3373% of peak ($107,068 / $3,175)0/10
Badges
7Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Whale
$791,789 invested
High Roller
$1,112/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Categories
8📈 ECONOMICS#682,252$-4,837Vol: $1,372,177
₿ CRYPTO#5,894$8,484Vol: $314,965
🎭 CULTURE#7,521$542Vol: $205,462
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,263$-1,680Vol: $141,255
💰 FINANCE#657,224$-3,070Vol: $46,558
💻 TECH#962$1,685Vol: $20,048
⚽ SPORTS#1,777,636$-351Vol: $1,446
📢 MENTIONS#175,096$-485Vol: $999
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-105,178
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$791,789
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
1583B / 297S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d
Periods
#2Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-105,178
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
126W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$-105,178
Win Rate
53%
126W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$1,055
Avg Loss
$-2,118
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,679 (0.4628296210698875% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$23,088
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)$14,025
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$11,567
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)$9,255
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$8,734
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$8,449
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7,948
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$6,272
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)$5,143
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4,621
Top Losers
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$-25,311
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$-14,088
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A$-12,900
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A$-12,640
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$-11,680
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-11,135
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$-9,472
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$-8,850
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$-8,691
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$-8,545
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.140
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
929
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.5%
Top-5 markets
44%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 8.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)37.1%
High (>55c)44.7%
Sessions
#1212/4/2025, 1:43:57 PM7 trades$216,6353 min
11/17/2025, 3:24:49 PM1 trades$150,9200 min
11/13/2025, 4:02:12 PM4 trades$114,1237 min
12/11/2025, 6:03:35 AM3 trades$31,4753 min
1/13/2026, 10:45:06 PM6 trades$29,0043 min
12/24/2025, 4:24:03 PM34 trades$21,43538 min
11/17/2025, 9:25:35 AM2 trades$20,0031 min
11/5/2025, 3:50:57 PM34 trades$19,99118 min
12/11/2025, 4:42:37 AM3 trades$17,7751 min
2/1/2026, 11:43:22 AM2 trades$16,7712 min
2/1/2026, 11:36:20 AM1 trades$14,6010 min
2/2/2026, 11:49:42 AM1 trades$12,9000 min
12/20/2025, 4:45:47 PM3 trades$11,1702 min
10/9/2024, 4:05:25 AM5 trades$10,7186 min
2/1/2026, 1:49:42 PM2 trades$10,7101 min
11/3/2025, 3:13:01 PM1 trades$10,2350 min
9/17/2024, 10:25:55 AM6 trades$10,1611 min
1/30/2026, 9:58:42 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
11/14/2025, 9:47:54 AM1 trades$9,8000 min
4/9/2025, 1:04:45 PM22 trades$9,5214 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-02
09-24
10-21
09-03
10-28
12-20
03-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 540 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M37.1 / H44.7