@kailynch

#544,28542

0xa9042a1283265547953c5eee734ea0fbdd5541a2

~36d· 86 markets · 293 tradesVol: $2,7272026-08-04 20:04:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (72/86)20/20
0.95x (win $34 / loss $36)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3740/15
Sortino -0.4040/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 138 (86 markets)10/10
26/30 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 703% of peak ($19 / $3)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+6
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Consistent
26/30 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#58,567$1Vol: $2,528
🏛️ POLITICS#256,882$3Vol: $108
⚽ SPORTS#524,709$0Vol: $35
🎭 CULTURE#127,193$2Vol: $30
📈 ECONOMICS#122,211$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,727
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
198B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$6
Vol: $2,727

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
72W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
84%
72W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (3.0890625% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?$15
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$3
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$2
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1?$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 16?$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 15?$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 7?$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 6?$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 9?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 12?$-12
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?$-0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 8?$-0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 11?$-0
$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.010
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
59.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3554s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)44.9%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 12:57:10 PM2 trades$480 min
4/30/2026, 12:04:02 PM6 trades$391 min
6/21/2026, 4:32:25 PM2 trades$350 min
6/19/2026, 5:16:49 PM4 trades$341 min
5/12/2026, 7:24:43 AM3 trades$301 min
5/11/2026, 12:47:27 AM2 trades$300 min
5/6/2026, 12:01:54 PM4 trades$285 min
6/6/2026, 12:07:22 PM2 trades$280 min
6/5/2026, 12:23:52 AM3 trades$270 min
6/25/2026, 1:21:17 AM2 trades$260 min
4/30/2026, 4:01:40 PM2 trades$250 min
6/18/2026, 11:56:28 AM3 trades$203 min
5/11/2026, 6:06:11 AM3 trades$201 min
5/8/2026, 3:25:53 AM4 trades$203 min
5/15/2026, 7:01:54 AM2 trades$200 min
6/29/2026, 2:50:10 AM2 trades$160 min
5/7/2026, 12:40:19 AM3 trades$150 min
5/10/2026, 7:31:59 PM3 trades$150 min
4/30/2026, 1:48:26 PM2 trades$150 min
5/6/2026, 9:46:44 AM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-10
05-15
06-07
06-14
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
88% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.1 / M0 / H44.9