@kaixi9899

#330,74725

0x278b9981210c7d667d347c3bb3c255c6d49343bf

~75d· 201 markets · 981 tradesVol: $31,6552026-08-05 18:26:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (73/147)9.8/20
0.83x (win $3,410 / loss $4,122)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6580/15
Sortino -2.0560/10
$-0.0555 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 241 (147 markets)10/10
28/59 profitable days (47%)4.4/10
Max DD 194% of peak ($1,470 / $758)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+44
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,634,081$-69Vol: $10,333
🏛️ POLITICS#160,670$12Vol: $6,831
💰 FINANCE#11,341$230Vol: $3,495
📈 ECONOMICS#9,803$152Vol: $3,147
🎭 CULTURE#791,881$-165Vol: $2,582
CRYPTO#1,439,158$-77Vol: $2,003
🌤️ WEATHER#282,366$-79Vol: $1,854
💻 TECH#246,965$-70Vol: $137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$44
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,655
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
201
total markets
Trades
382B / 599S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $154
Week
$-25
Vol: $1,254
Month
$-47
Vol: $1,477
All Time
$44
Vol: $31,655

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
73W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$44
Win Rate
50%
73W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,019 (23.37262095849576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$556
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli$231
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$171
Spurs vs. Knicks$158
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$116
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$114
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$105
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$82
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$77

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-460
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-390
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-264
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-222
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-118
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-117
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$-115
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-112
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox$-104

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5234s — normal for humanCV 0.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.98
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)78%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 6:54:31 PM5 trades$8050 min
7/30/2026, 5:57:14 PM16 trades$4965 min
5/30/2026, 12:10:58 AM3 trades$4550 min
7/2/2026, 8:06:05 AM11 trades$3741 min
7/8/2026, 10:00:52 PM11 trades$3735 min
7/7/2026, 9:16:01 PM7 trades$3340 min
6/11/2026, 3:50:09 AM4 trades$3170 min
7/3/2026, 8:17:16 PM2 trades$3120 min
7/26/2026, 10:06:12 AM2 trades$2990 min
6/15/2026, 1:06:42 PM5 trades$2744 min
6/12/2026, 2:23:30 PM2 trades$2680 min
8/2/2026, 1:31:03 PM2 trades$2580 min
6/11/2026, 3:43:16 PM7 trades$2560 min
7/27/2026, 2:25:36 AM4 trades$2520 min
5/7/2026, 4:41:17 AM9 trades$2440 min
7/7/2026, 11:17:52 AM5 trades$2390 min
6/24/2026, 12:47:28 PM4 trades$2340 min
6/19/2026, 12:42:38 PM2 trades$2050 min
7/13/2026, 1:22:41 PM3 trades$2040 min
7/1/2026, 9:47:43 AM2 trades$2040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-20
05-31
06-12
06-24
07-08
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M17.5 / H78