kaninkungen

@kaninkungen

#14,41097

0xa6f7332eb48de7d2c74daa7d012f419e84e58545

~173d· 105 markets · 1101 tradesVol: $190,1272026-08-04 19:47:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (72/95)20/20
2.72x (win $19,880 / loss $7,298)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.42115/15
Sortino 10.71610/10
$+0.1409 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 321 (95 markets)10/10
61/79 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($2,685 / $15,267)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+10,231
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Whale
$89,268 invested
Consistent
61/79 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#7,516$3,874Vol: $114,803
📈 ECONOMICS#1,064$4,913Vol: $34,331
🎭 CULTURE#5,097$980Vol: $14,105
CRYPTO#63,679$209Vol: $12,568
📢 MENTIONS#2,713$371Vol: $5,129
💰 FINANCE#610,239$-34Vol: $3,555
SPORTS#151,434$61Vol: $3,060
💻 TECH#15,168$15Vol: $1,641
🌤️ WEATHER#289,213$-158Vol: $936

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$190,127
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
732B / 369S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $2,747
Week
$22
Vol: $2,747
Month
$61
Vol: $2,747
All Time
$10,231
Vol: $190,127

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
72W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$10,231
Win Rate
76%
72W / 23L
Profit Factor
2.72x
Avg Win
$276
Avg Loss
$-317

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,761 (0.7586114882399342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$4,244
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$2,205
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,312
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,137
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1,009
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$968
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$610
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$597
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$573
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$570

Top Losers

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-1,418
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-1,057
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,040
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-932
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-600
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-483
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$-459
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$-330
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-245
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-208

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.230
Sortino
0.348
HHI
362
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.125
Kelly %
32.6%
Half-Kelly
16.3%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
31.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 638s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)71.3%

Sessions

#12
12/1/2025, 9:24:10 PM2 trades$5,9061 min
8/4/2026, 9:32:51 AM14 trades$3,3168 min
7/6/2025, 7:22:29 AM1 trades$3,2490 min
6/15/2025, 12:32:35 AM1 trades$2,6140 min
7/11/2026, 4:13:31 AM2 trades$2,5440 min
5/6/2026, 9:07:18 AM2 trades$2,4970 min
4/29/2025, 5:00:28 AM1 trades$2,3870 min
5/15/2026, 11:00:26 PM5 trades$2,3660 min
1/9/2026, 2:08:50 AM14 trades$2,26215 min
9/2/2025, 3:02:10 PM9 trades$1,9613 min
3/15/2026, 4:55:03 PM1 trades$1,9240 min
7/16/2025, 3:19:56 PM10 trades$1,9094 min
6/11/2026, 4:06:01 AM1 trades$1,7620 min
12/4/2025, 3:44:49 PM1 trades$1,6260 min
4/10/2026, 10:02:19 AM6 trades$1,5360 min
3/2/2026, 10:18:07 AM10 trades$1,50612 min
3/2/2026, 9:27:51 AM8 trades$1,43316 min
4/28/2026, 3:24:14 PM2 trades$1,3280 min
6/25/2025, 4:14:21 PM6 trades$1,2791 min
4/14/2026, 3:32:13 PM11 trades$1,2795 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
03-03
09-09
01-01
02-14
04-25
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.3 / M22.4 / H71.3