@kastetem

#10,53326

0xc427980d20632c60c5a43fb689540c7f6f776f4d

~162d· 327 markets · 4638 tradesVol: $833,1972026-08-05 17:27:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (115/306)3.8/20
1.03x (win $59,091 / loss $57,404)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1903.6/15
Sortino 0.2832.8/10
$+0.0104 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 113 (306 markets)10/10
47/123 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($19,005 / $20,692)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+14,479
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$162,041 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,128$-1,744Vol: $200,122
💰 FINANCE#472$11,548Vol: $185,408
⚽ SPORTS#1,804,890$-587Vol: $167,003
📈 ECONOMICS#743$8,010Vol: $131,307
₿ CRYPTO#1,659,990$-2,854Vol: $109,174
💻 TECH#256,136$-462Vol: $12,488
🎭 CULTURE#64,696$11Vol: $6,061
🌤️ WEATHER#291,739$-220Vol: $1,098

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$833,197
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
327
total markets
Trades
2428B / 2210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~162d

Periods

#2
Today
$66
Vol: $3,077
Week
$-70
Vol: $16,432
Month
$-609
Vol: $16,432
All Time
$14,479
Vol: $833,197

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
115W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$14,479
Win Rate
38%
115W / 191L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$514
Avg Loss
$-304

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,551 (1.0049519515661842% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$5,763
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4,445
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$4,343
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$2,641
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$2,278
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?$2,068
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?$1,848
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?$1,741
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?$1,721
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$1,719

Top Losers

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?$-5,752
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-3,897
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-2,795
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$-2,749
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-2,358
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-1,876
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$-1,716
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$-1,579
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-1,573
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$-1,549

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.013
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)43%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 10:28:39 AM12 trades$5,4703 min
5/23/2026, 11:43:28 PM12 trades$4,8567 min
6/1/2026, 12:08:14 AM1 trades$4,5650 min
7/29/2026, 10:35:02 PM11 trades$4,2794 min
6/24/2026, 7:06:01 PM15 trades$3,9110 min
6/5/2026, 6:53:16 PM12 trades$3,69410 min
7/23/2026, 7:01:27 PM15 trades$3,6803 min
4/29/2026, 6:24:14 PM9 trades$3,6151 min
7/28/2026, 2:52:40 PM5 trades$3,5530 min
5/3/2026, 8:03:30 AM61 trades$3,24014 min
4/29/2026, 9:18:46 AM10 trades$2,9161 min
6/24/2026, 1:00:59 PM23 trades$2,8462 min
5/12/2026, 10:17:58 AM18 trades$2,7632 min
6/12/2026, 5:04:45 PM23 trades$2,5655 min
7/29/2026, 6:06:12 PM11 trades$2,4693 min
7/18/2026, 2:48:13 PM20 trades$2,4660 min
6/27/2026, 6:24:31 AM15 trades$2,4660 min
5/11/2026, 8:30:45 PM61 trades$2,41713 min
6/24/2026, 6:44:08 PM16 trades$2,3402 min
6/5/2026, 4:38:49 PM11 trades$2,1959 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-06
03-30
05-03
05-31
06-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.3 / M30.7 / H43