@kobe2024

#2,876,66222

0x051f268cdf83cd4095dd569cba8c5e8870330690

~37d· 70 markets · 502 tradesVol: $264,8652026-08-05 16:39:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (29/57)10.4/20
0.36x (win $7,817 / loss $21,452)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1530/15
Sortino -5.8570/10
$-0.3966 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1379 (57 markets)5.6/10
13/25 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 20863% of peak ($13,701 / $66)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.2 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,217$-648Vol: $161,414
SPORTS#336,886$5Vol: $78,156
📈 ECONOMICS#38,080$12Vol: $18,474
CRYPTO#1,199,526$-14Vol: $1,987
💻 TECH#15,322$14Vol: $1,886
💰 FINANCE#42,542$18Vol: $1,827
🌤️ WEATHER#182,739$-1Vol: $1,099
🎭 CULTURE#309,382$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-613
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,865
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
302B / 200S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $0
All Time
$-613
Vol: $264,865

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
29W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-613
Win Rate
51%
29W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$270
Avg Loss
$-894

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,683 (12.523114037947447% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7,368
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$171
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$144
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$27
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$25
Trump out as President by March 31?$10
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?$9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$6

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-8,813
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$-5,260
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-5,018
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-849
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-324
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$-243
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$-212
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-200
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-198
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?$-121

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.316
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
3246
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.259
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.5%
Top-5 markets
109.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)56%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 1:35:22 AM68 trades$16,96169 min
5/9/2026, 3:08:23 AM29 trades$4,20822 min
6/11/2026, 6:25:16 AM21 trades$3,81416 min
5/8/2026, 8:37:23 AM36 trades$3,14425 min
5/8/2026, 10:57:12 AM36 trades$2,9987 min
12/25/2024, 12:57:28 PM3 trades$2,4114 min
12/25/2024, 5:13:18 PM2 trades$2,4080 min
12/26/2024, 5:36:12 AM2 trades$2,3781 min
6/10/2026, 10:04:39 AM2 trades$2,3150 min
12/22/2024, 8:16:12 AM5 trades$2,1442 min
12/22/2024, 4:36:42 PM4 trades$1,9842 min
6/21/2026, 2:19:40 AM7 trades$1,3344 min
12/20/2024, 10:51:08 AM4 trades$1,2103 min
12/26/2024, 4:08:16 PM1 trades$1,1630 min
5/8/2026, 11:39:24 AM4 trades$1,1600 min
6/20/2026, 11:32:44 PM4 trades$1,1081 min
5/9/2026, 1:19:25 AM15 trades$1,10211 min
5/8/2026, 12:32:17 PM3 trades$1,0804 min
12/23/2024, 10:53:58 PM1 trades$1,0760 min
5/9/2026, 6:15:57 AM10 trades$1,0024 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
01-13
04-26
10-29
02-27
05-09
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.5 / M13.6 / H56