@kolbkobb

#2,829,89329

0x91b7c3dff045394337f9a66ae346e9da43c68203

~20d· 39 markets · 123 tradesVol: $37,6912026-08-04 19:00:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (24/35)19.3/20
0.10x (win $35 / loss $345)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6800/15
Sortino -5.4470/10
$-0.0125 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3510 (35 markets)0/10
10/14 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($323 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Consistent
10/14 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,592,197$-431Vol: $36,969
⚽ SPORTS#1,097,665$-2Vol: $376
💰 FINANCE#149,849$1Vol: $200
📈 ECONOMICS#123,155$1Vol: $86
₿ CRYPTO#434,357$1Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,691
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
73B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-431
Vol: $37,691

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
23W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-431
Win Rate
68%
23W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (0.04613992762364295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$8
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$4
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$1
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-289
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$-11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$-11
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-8
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-5
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-4
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$-3
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.142
HHI
4499
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
50.4%
Half-Kelly
25.2%
Top-1 market
61.1%
Top-5 markets
105.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)83.6%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 5:12:22 PM14 trades$17,5959 min
4/24/2026, 5:30:46 PM12 trades$10,7917 min
4/24/2026, 4:45:08 PM5 trades$9,8686 min
4/24/2026, 5:00:20 PM4 trades$5,9920 min
4/25/2026, 5:52:28 PM2 trades$7500 min
5/7/2026, 6:34:03 AM6 trades$3547 min
6/7/2026, 2:49:09 AM10 trades$26910 min
6/25/2026, 6:51:16 AM26 trades$1785 min
5/24/2026, 5:02:25 AM1 trades$1270 min
6/29/2026, 6:57:10 PM1 trades$1200 min
6/12/2026, 4:38:28 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/24/2026, 5:48:10 PM10 trades$876 min
5/20/2026, 9:34:54 AM14 trades$567 min
7/12/2026, 3:28:34 AM2 trades$200 min
7/16/2026, 6:38:41 PM1 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 3:26:26 AM1 trades$150 min
6/18/2026, 6:34:26 PM1 trades$120 min
6/29/2026, 9:21:32 PM1 trades$100 min
5/26/2026, 11:02:44 PM1 trades$90 min
7/15/2026, 4:54:20 PM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-07
05-26
06-12
06-19
06-25
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M5.5 / H83.6