@kostafun

#2,745,3686

0x6d50d1402b75af546273297aa6dd2904bd211f5d

~129d· 116 markets · 815 tradesVol: $112,5672026-08-05 17:28:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (31/95)1.3/20
0.68x (win $3,877 / loss $5,744)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8050/15
Sortino -2.1920/10
$-0.1592 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1649 (95 markets)4.3/10
22/67 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 373% of peak ($2,655 / $711)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#61,938$107Vol: $90,844
₿ CRYPTO#1,551,133$-242Vol: $12,646
💰 FINANCE#29,726$38Vol: $5,704
📈 ECONOMICS#643,448$-40Vol: $2,200
💻 TECH#209,950$-3Vol: $286
🎭 CULTURE#142,186$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,567
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
591B / 224S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $100
Week
$-123
Vol: $300
Month
$-187
Vol: $600
All Time
$-242
Vol: $112,567

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
31W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-242
Win Rate
33%
31W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$125
Avg Loss
$-93

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,147 (8.887830731646723% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$813
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$784
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$549
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$328
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$191
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$164
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$161
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$149
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$113
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?$111

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,133
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-944
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-439
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-428
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-336
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$-305
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-242
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$-162
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$-141
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-137

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.094
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
50%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1370s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.7%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)19.8%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 10:38:18 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/1/2026, 10:50:09 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/11/2026, 6:31:11 PM5 trades$1,0414 min
4/21/2026, 8:27:48 PM4 trades$9610 min
7/29/2026, 11:28:11 AM2 trades$5880 min
5/15/2026, 10:23:37 AM12 trades$5301 min
5/21/2026, 11:58:24 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/14/2026, 11:47:57 PM5 trades$5002 min
6/1/2026, 1:28:14 AM1 trades$4980 min
3/21/2026, 10:47:31 AM7 trades$4949 min
5/15/2026, 3:02:48 PM7 trades$4932 min
6/13/2026, 11:36:25 AM4 trades$4092 min
6/7/2026, 7:36:13 PM2 trades$4000 min
4/6/2026, 8:07:27 PM2 trades$3980 min
5/7/2026, 3:30:37 AM2 trades$3900 min
5/29/2026, 3:52:48 PM2 trades$3900 min
5/23/2026, 2:18:55 PM13 trades$37816 min
2/28/2026, 7:31:43 PM4 trades$3535 min
5/20/2026, 2:02:57 PM2 trades$3000 min
8/1/2026, 10:51:30 PM6 trades$3009 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
02-06
03-06
03-26
04-21
05-29
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 151 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.7 / M25.5 / H19.8