@kroko
#4,025730xf8ccc51356ad11e3d884f4beeaca81bb08fe028a
~576d· 4478 markets · 270845 tradesVol: $40,233,8002026-08-04 17:22:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (1642/4459)3.4/20
1.72x (win $21,719 / loss $12,655)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22315/15
Sortino 3.84010/10
$+0.6822 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 15 (4459 markets)10/10
237/492 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($2,672 / $9,962)8.6/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+43,585
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#344$22,753Vol: $27,290,587
🏛️ POLITICS#5,147$6,760Vol: $4,750,398
₿ CRYPTO#15,106$2,987Vol: $3,627,250
⚽ SPORTS#7,970$5,992Vol: $1,422,081
📈 ECONOMICS#4,229$592Vol: $921,823
💰 FINANCE#5,536$669Vol: $548,202
💻 TECH#1,660$773Vol: $492,120
📢 MENTIONS#835$1,723Vol: $344,949
🌤️ WEATHER#3,650$320Vol: $58,261
Overview
#1Net PnL
$43,585
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,233,800
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4478
total markets
Trades
21118B / 5969S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~576d
Periods
#2Today
$-9
Vol: $19,765
Week
$-16
Vol: $55,048
Month
$-28
Vol: $75,939
All Time
$43,585
Vol: $40,233,800
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
3117W / 2844L events
Realized PnL
$43,585
Win Rate
52%
3117W / 2844L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,554 (0.21919422770844038% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$4,738
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$4,098
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$717
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$341
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$316
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$216
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$203
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$198
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$179
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?$179
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,853
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$-555
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$-317
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-258
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-240
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$-198
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-190
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-177
GTA VI released before June 2026?$-164
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-158
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.148
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.638
Kelly %
18.9%
Half-Kelly
9.5%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
417.3
Very active
Markets / Day
6.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
60.0
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 476s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock417 trades/day — automation6.9 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.2
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)95.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)3.8%
Sessions
#122/8/2026, 8:13:13 PM1278 trades$1,006309 min
3/16/2026, 12:00:31 AM383 trades$332139 min
3/15/2026, 10:04:35 PM222 trades$180110 min
2/9/2026, 1:39:43 AM121 trades$11962 min
2/8/2026, 6:15:27 PM197 trades$11395 min
2/8/2026, 3:36:51 PM203 trades$73120 min
2/7/2026, 9:15:23 PM4 trades$673 min
5/15/2026, 1:57:56 PM3 trades$613 min
5/16/2026, 6:49:20 PM72 trades$5748 min
1/30/2026, 4:07:56 AM3 trades$550 min
6/1/2025, 8:46:41 PM13 trades$5517 min
3/4/2026, 3:48:09 PM3 trades$544 min
6/20/2025, 1:59:42 AM2 trades$540 min
5/16/2026, 4:08:55 PM51 trades$5337 min
1/2/2026, 2:58:09 PM4 trades$522 min
2/2/2025, 11:09:53 PM2 trades$520 min
9/8/2025, 6:39:54 PM4 trades$525 min
5/16/2026, 8:49:07 PM89 trades$5056 min
5/14/2026, 11:55:33 PM4 trades$492 min
5/7/2026, 7:02:47 PM3 trades$490 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
05-04
08-15
11-13
02-03
04-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.6 / M0.6 / H3.8