@ktmbo

#130,46863

0xd9a6b5b38380a93e8afb0737c9ea1533a910588e

~115d· 113 markets · 513 tradesVol: $112,4742026-08-04 20:21:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (45/84)11.8/20
1.62x (win $1,818 / loss $1,123)10.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.38415/15
Sortino 3.83110/10
$+0.0247 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 273 (84 markets)10/10
27/55 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($756 / $697)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+383
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#119,427$59Vol: $71,517
💰 FINANCE#14,318$154Vol: $15,806
📈 ECONOMICS#26,558$24Vol: $11,400
🎭 CULTURE#697,640$-12Vol: $9,491
🏛️ POLITICS#51,934$150Vol: $4,060
SPORTS#305,336$7Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,474
Total Redeem
$490
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
279B / 234S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $1,000
Month
$-1
Vol: $1,000
All Time
$383
Vol: $112,474

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
45W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$383
Win Rate
54%
45W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $932 (2.4331418124836772% of PnL)

Top Winners

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$429
P2P FDV above $15M one day after launch?$318
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$185
Will the US strike Somalia next?$116
Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?$77
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?$50
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$44
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$42
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$42

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$-159
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-100
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-77
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-42
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.124
Sortino
0.144
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)62.4%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 11:30:28 AM4 trades$2,3205 min
5/10/2026, 7:56:38 PM5 trades$2,1603 min
3/4/2026, 5:02:57 PM11 trades$1,15125 min
3/4/2026, 5:53:59 PM7 trades$76015 min
2/23/2026, 5:00:38 PM1 trades$6890 min
2/25/2026, 4:44:56 PM3 trades$6891 min
2/17/2026, 5:33:23 PM2 trades$6040 min
2/18/2026, 8:01:36 PM2 trades$6040 min
4/14/2026, 3:12:25 PM5 trades$6005 min
2/19/2026, 4:41:12 PM2 trades$5960 min
4/1/2026, 2:38:43 PM3 trades$5700 min
4/2/2026, 2:02:53 PM4 trades$5570 min
4/8/2026, 4:28:05 PM5 trades$5301 min
4/10/2026, 2:55:35 PM3 trades$5280 min
2/15/2026, 5:24:21 PM4 trades$5285 min
4/21/2026, 7:27:26 PM4 trades$5130 min
2/21/2026, 4:55:42 PM2 trades$5110 min
3/1/2026, 4:36:25 PM2 trades$5041 min
4/22/2026, 5:34:12 PM3 trades$4960 min
3/3/2026, 4:15:27 PM2 trades$4830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-20
02-08
03-03
03-21
04-21
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M24 / H62.4