@l3thar
#5,864200x2fadc932219a1244ecf34d7bfa15fe6dbb89f5c0
~88d· 53 markets · 1962 tradesVol: $705,5972026-08-05 18:47:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (23/48)9/20
0.80x (win $104,034 / loss $129,279)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9060/15
Sortino -0.9870/10
$-0.1167 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1323 (48 markets)5.9/10
17/35 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 292% of peak ($103,997 / $35,663)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+28,042
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 34.7 entries/market
Whale
$216,234 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#2,277$19,040Vol: $678,626
🎭 CULTURE#801,151$-309Vol: $12,919
⚽ SPORTS#5,597$9,595Vol: $11,561
💻 TECH#246,803$-68Vol: $2,036
📈 ECONOMICS#51,079$7Vol: $455
Overview
#1Net PnL
$28,265
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$705,597
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
1038B / 924S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d
Periods
#2Today
$223
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $35,366
Month
$1,305
Vol: $38,089
All Time
$28,265
Vol: $705,597
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
23W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$28,042
Win Rate
49%
23W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$4,523
Avg Loss
$-5,387
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49,557 (1.7672516809577046% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26,121
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$14,136
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$9,300
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$7,714
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$7,400
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$6,377
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5,336
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$4,973
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$4,800
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4,616
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-70,783
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-41,405
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-9,353
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-2,879
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,035
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?$-949
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-579
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$-432
Will the US strike Iran next?$-404
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$-364
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
2218
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
2.6%
Half-Kelly
1.3%
Top-1 market
43.8%
Top-5 markets
69.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 273s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
34.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)66.8%
High (>55c)28%
Sessions
#124/20/2026, 8:31:10 PM38 trades$21,9430 min
4/3/2026, 3:05:19 AM38 trades$15,2860 min
4/2/2026, 1:20:43 AM56 trades$14,1720 min
4/6/2026, 7:47:19 PM8 trades$13,8230 min
4/8/2026, 4:53:03 PM16 trades$11,0679 min
3/29/2026, 8:56:02 PM1 trades$9,8380 min
3/26/2026, 4:57:07 AM2 trades$9,7440 min
4/25/2026, 5:06:22 PM20 trades$9,6760 min
7/10/2026, 7:00:23 PM14 trades$8,7900 min
4/14/2026, 6:36:30 PM43 trades$8,7050 min
4/3/2026, 4:50:49 PM19 trades$8,6650 min
8/4/2026, 2:53:08 PM72 trades$7,9255 min
4/3/2026, 4:34:35 PM5 trades$7,8710 min
4/29/2026, 4:40:24 PM12 trades$7,7915 min
3/30/2026, 11:53:36 AM2 trades$7,7291 min
3/30/2026, 10:22:16 AM1 trades$7,6580 min
4/8/2026, 7:34:19 PM34 trades$6,98912 min
6/14/2026, 9:35:12 PM14 trades$6,6442 min
4/7/2026, 11:31:43 PM4 trades$6,6400 min
4/8/2026, 5:33:07 PM27 trades$6,6205 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
06-22
03-04
03-30
04-12
04-29
05-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5.2 / M66.8 / H28