@laz.42

#123,22989

0x600d8972547f13ccb0a1f85aa992c84aac0a96c1

~61d· 325 markets · 1574 tradesVol: $26,8022026-08-04 19:00:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (172/276)16.2/20
3.04x (win $3,150 / loss $1,036)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.44515/15
Sortino 22.54910/10
$+0.4856 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 417 (276 markets)10/10
19/45 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($261 / $2,358)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+435
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#23,486$647Vol: $8,570
SPORTS#1,528,830$-31Vol: $7,750
🌤️ WEATHER#270,450$-34Vol: $3,789
CRYPTO#1,169,845$-11Vol: $2,674
💻 TECH#249,438$-101Vol: $1,541
💰 FINANCE#598,462$-21Vol: $1,365
🎭 CULTURE#637,587$-5Vol: $980
📈 ECONOMICS#558,658$-4Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,802
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
325
total markets
Trades
691B / 883S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $10
Week
$-2
Vol: $30
Month
$-2
Vol: $30
All Time
$435
Vol: $26,802

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
171W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$435
Win Rate
62%
171W / 104L
Profit Factor
3.04x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,598 (5.970038141629519% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,450
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$45
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$37
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$31
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$30
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24

Top Losers

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-160
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-121
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-80
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-60
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$-59
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$-42
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.127
Sortino
1.023
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.459
Kelly %
41.9%
Half-Kelly
20.9%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
45.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.3%
High (>55c)71.9%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 5:08:02 AM18 trades$8512 min
5/20/2026, 12:44:26 PM24 trades$6548 min
6/12/2026, 8:47:04 AM101 trades$62425 min
5/11/2026, 8:49:49 PM31 trades$5213 min
6/16/2026, 5:18:23 PM8 trades$5135 min
4/1/2026, 10:09:15 AM10 trades$4760 min
6/19/2026, 12:48:59 AM19 trades$4492 min
5/20/2026, 3:26:23 AM7 trades$4130 min
6/17/2026, 10:21:13 PM15 trades$4072 min
5/13/2026, 1:11:47 PM9 trades$3440 min
6/12/2026, 12:19:00 PM57 trades$34021 min
4/6/2026, 11:50:09 PM11 trades$3121 min
4/7/2026, 12:06:47 AM7 trades$2730 min
5/13/2026, 12:53:49 PM5 trades$2732 min
4/7/2026, 11:09:15 AM5 trades$2630 min
6/16/2026, 5:05:00 AM49 trades$25113 min
6/16/2026, 9:30:04 PM18 trades$2227 min
6/13/2026, 1:50:37 PM8 trades$1974 min
6/14/2026, 7:12:57 AM40 trades$1869 min
6/14/2026, 10:05:06 PM8 trades$1851 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
05-26
06-07
06-14
06-21
07-04
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.7 / M15.3 / H71.9