@ledgertots

#2,422,77643

0x026ef9b3f0cad7bf63dcd63d59bddde5ab494345

~31d· 53 markets · 292 tradesVol: $17,3122026-08-04 22:40:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (12/48)0/20
1.24x (win $1,464 / loss $1,184)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.92815/15
Sortino 8.03210/10
$+0.1097 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 1182 (48 markets)6.6/10
7/23 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($254 / $315)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#229,615$20Vol: $7,893
🏛️ POLITICS#1,456,391$-46Vol: $6,114
💰 FINANCE#78,584$4Vol: $1,012
🌤️ WEATHER#279,886$-66Vol: $981
₿ CRYPTO#1,195,928$-13Vol: $537
📈 ECONOMICS#33,796$15Vol: $422
🎭 CULTURE#61,773$12Vol: $230
📢 MENTIONS#19,705$10Vol: $123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,312
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
135B / 157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-63
Vol: $17,312

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
12W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-63
Win Rate
25%
12W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,412 (22.4662742602609% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,294
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$61
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?$14
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$9
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-654
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-79
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-63
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 3?$-46
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on March 17?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.471
HHI
2283
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.3%
Top-5 markets
88.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.96
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:40:22 AM12 trades$9703 min
4/7/2026, 10:56:41 PM20 trades$72814 min
6/29/2026, 11:36:22 AM4 trades$5530 min
7/7/2026, 7:52:08 PM9 trades$5530 min
7/6/2026, 1:27:53 PM4 trades$4990 min
7/6/2026, 8:55:40 PM4 trades$3473 min
6/8/2026, 11:55:27 AM3 trades$2500 min
7/2/2026, 8:02:37 PM4 trades$2251 min
5/3/2026, 6:17:30 AM14 trades$2190 min
6/13/2026, 10:06:30 AM4 trades$2120 min
6/30/2026, 4:10:34 PM4 trades$1500 min
4/1/2026, 11:01:25 PM2 trades$1400 min
4/7/2026, 10:51:11 PM2 trades$1400 min
4/5/2026, 1:15:19 PM9 trades$1290 min
4/27/2026, 11:12:24 AM6 trades$1131 min
4/18/2026, 12:45:58 AM4 trades$1105 min
5/20/2026, 9:04:31 PM12 trades$1013 min
5/1/2026, 8:52:28 PM2 trades$980 min
4/27/2026, 10:00:18 AM6 trades$942 min
6/24/2026, 11:05:58 PM4 trades$822 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-18
04-09
04-27
05-01
05-25
06-15
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 117 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.1 / M18.5 / H33.3