@leetbetter

#2,460,52140

0x974bb2e3b97edc5ea55f84806d64106d1545b29b

~89d· 240 markets · 553 tradesVol: $20,2842026-08-05 00:44:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (171/198)20/20
0.73x (win $1,283 / loss $1,762)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9040/15
Sortino -2.0390/10
$-0.0374 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 85 (198 markets)10/10
52/66 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($888 / $309)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
52/66 profitable days
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#288,108$-136Vol: $6,200
🏛️ POLITICS#1,030,021$-3Vol: $5,726
CRYPTO#1,377,741$-46Vol: $3,416
💰 FINANCE#583,682$-14Vol: $1,692
SPORTS#1,295,585$-8Vol: $1,276
🎭 CULTURE#30,363$51Vol: $848
📈 ECONOMICS#18,216$50Vol: $655
💻 TECH#19,271$9Vol: $276
📢 MENTIONS#19,127$11Vol: $85

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,284
Total Redeem
$425
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
240
total markets
Trades
437B / 116S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$30
Vol: $0
Month
$17
Vol: $0
All Time
$-73
Vol: $20,284

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
171W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-73
Win Rate
86%
171W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-68

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $225 (3.0834818368745713% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$93
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$76
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$36
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$28
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$21

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-424
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-238
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-168
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-145
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?$-128
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$-67
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-64
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$-59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on March 10?$-47

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.099
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 564s — normal for humanCV 0.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)94.3%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 12:15:23 PM15 trades$56616 min
12/29/2025, 10:59:01 AM5 trades$40010 min
4/1/2026, 12:50:27 PM6 trades$2996 min
4/7/2026, 8:19:27 PM5 trades$2346 min
12/30/2025, 11:13:49 PM4 trades$20010 min
3/28/2026, 11:23:55 AM4 trades$1995 min
3/9/2026, 5:19:55 PM4 trades$1911 min
3/18/2026, 4:57:15 PM7 trades$1786 min
12/29/2025, 10:41:15 AM2 trades$1751 min
4/6/2026, 1:15:15 PM4 trades$1721 min
7/6/2026, 9:39:46 PM4 trades$1644 min
3/12/2026, 9:41:03 PM4 trades$1592 min
12/30/2025, 5:54:59 PM2 trades$1505 min
3/12/2026, 3:27:05 PM4 trades$1477 min
3/15/2026, 9:53:59 PM3 trades$1464 min
3/7/2026, 8:40:51 AM8 trades$14111 min
3/5/2026, 5:14:13 PM1 trades$1390 min
4/7/2026, 8:58:19 PM2 trades$1390 min
3/5/2026, 5:37:39 PM2 trades$1395 min
3/16/2026, 7:32:51 AM4 trades$1368 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
03-05
03-16
04-06
05-20
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M4.8 / H94.3