@leorainer
#129,561400xcc49d2de1783fce6b57b3158511c072618ace883
~23d· 24 markets · 82 tradesVol: $6,5772026-08-04 16:21:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (13/17)20/20
0.97x (win $988 / loss $1,015)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1670/15
Sortino -0.2060/10
$-0.0068 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 932 (17 markets)7.8/10
12/15 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($900 / $810)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+389
Consistent
12/15 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#42,017$223Vol: $5,043
⚽ SPORTS#95,637$166Vol: $1,534
Overview
#1Net PnL
$389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,577
Total Redeem
$667
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
29B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $108
Month
$-4
Vol: $108
All Time
$389
Vol: $6,577
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
13W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$389
Win Rate
76%
13W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-254
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $764 (1.9636372987707655% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$323
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$274
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$167
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?$82
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$53
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$35
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$20
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$18
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?$6
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$4
Top Losers
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-500
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-400
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-108
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
814
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
58.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22029s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)86.2%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 11:52:27 AM7 trades$5661 min
3/12/2026, 12:55:43 PM1 trades$5000 min
3/24/2026, 12:19:53 PM1 trades$5000 min
5/14/2026, 2:23:44 PM4 trades$3800 min
4/28/2026, 1:06:28 PM4 trades$3330 min
7/29/2026, 7:46:45 AM6 trades$3082 min
3/27/2026, 10:16:03 AM1 trades$3000 min
6/19/2026, 8:17:25 PM3 trades$3000 min
4/30/2026, 8:31:22 PM5 trades$2940 min
6/29/2026, 3:22:44 PM2 trades$2560 min
7/1/2026, 12:15:08 PM7 trades$2330 min
4/16/2026, 7:20:02 PM6 trades$1450 min
5/17/2026, 9:36:00 AM2 trades$1410 min
6/16/2026, 1:12:42 PM2 trades$1400 min
7/23/2026, 6:05:03 PM4 trades$1260 min
6/20/2026, 9:06:13 PM2 trades$1140 min
8/3/2026, 10:48:39 AM2 trades$1080 min
7/30/2026, 12:47:27 PM2 trades$940 min
6/27/2026, 10:21:44 PM2 trades$880 min
5/16/2026, 11:04:41 PM4 trades$850 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-27
04-28
05-07
06-14
06-21
06-27
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M13.8 / H86.2