@lhy260312

#2,403,30224

0xfacfc703253de06a4f08b7245e3093ba0d011b2e

~21d· 122 markets · 448 tradesVol: $12,2532026-08-04 21:00:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (64/121)11.4/20
0.74x (win $287 / loss $386)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0700/15
Sortino -4.5060/10
$-0.1121 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 292 (121 markets)10/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 518% of peak ($122 / $24)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#592,740$0Vol: $9,751
💻 TECH#243,975$-50Vol: $1,165
🏛️ POLITICS#1,363,539$-18Vol: $536
🎭 CULTURE#82,688$6Vol: $291
💰 FINANCE#67,129$6Vol: $240
⚽ SPORTS#997,268$-1Vol: $238
📈 ECONOMICS#471,449$-1Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,253
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
247B / 201S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-59
Vol: $12,253

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
64W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-59
Win Rate
53%
64W / 57L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $122 (2.0832764505119457% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$30
Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.3B?$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$21
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$19
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$9
Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-07-05?$9

Top Losers

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-44
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-40
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-20
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$-14
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-13
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$-13
Iran leadership change by March 31?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.206
Sortino
-0.220
HHI
278
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)49.8%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 3:52:19 AM60 trades$17179 min
7/10/2026, 10:10:52 AM16 trades$1224 min
7/10/2026, 4:08:04 PM12 trades$1093 min
3/14/2026, 12:15:53 AM29 trades$10145 min
7/8/2026, 11:19:46 PM2 trades$910 min
7/8/2026, 11:38:40 PM4 trades$840 min
7/10/2026, 4:21:31 PM13 trades$793 min
6/29/2026, 6:08:02 AM2 trades$790 min
7/17/2026, 4:57:39 AM4 trades$791 min
7/3/2026, 5:52:25 PM16 trades$717 min
7/21/2026, 3:14:34 AM7 trades$630 min
7/8/2026, 11:59:41 PM8 trades$600 min
6/29/2026, 7:32:29 AM13 trades$592 min
3/14/2026, 11:23:59 PM15 trades$5423 min
7/17/2026, 4:35:40 AM4 trades$510 min
6/29/2026, 7:40:23 AM3 trades$510 min
7/13/2026, 5:44:40 PM4 trades$500 min
7/10/2026, 5:05:56 AM7 trades$491 min
7/2/2026, 9:04:10 AM10 trades$4710 min
3/14/2026, 8:01:59 PM9 trades$4710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-14
06-29
07-01
07-03
07-09
07-13
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.66/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.9 / M49.8 / H22.3