@lighter300
#149,023140x5b8d2dc97625e7c51954bc36371c30a902b5a1ae
~151d· 320 markets · 7815 tradesVol: $1,755,5782026-08-04 19:00:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (134/285)8.5/20
0.92x (win $6,750 / loss $7,353)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6600/15
Sortino -0.8760/10
$-0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9152 (285 markets)0/10
41/93 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 507% of peak ($2,762 / $545)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+286
DCA Master
Avg 26.6 entries/market
Whale
$751,760 invested
High Roller
$2,514/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#30,242$410Vol: $1,686,729
₿ CRYPTO#1,582,697$-412Vol: $33,038
⚽ SPORTS#327,810$5Vol: $15,615
💰 FINANCE#7,926$411Vol: $8,379
📈 ECONOMICS#662,848$-119Vol: $2,844
💻 TECH#238,893$-27Vol: $1,354
🎭 CULTURE#72,604$9Vol: $630
Overview
#1Net PnL
$286
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,755,578
Total Redeem
$133
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
320
total markets
Trades
4325B / 3490S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~151d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $472
Week
$-4
Vol: $693
Month
$-4
Vol: $693
All Time
$286
Vol: $1,755,578
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
134W / 151L events
Realized PnL
$286
Win Rate
47%
134W / 151L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-53
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,151 (4.024304948417556% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$465
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$358
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$328
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$324
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$306
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$302
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$236
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$209
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$201
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$198
Top Losers
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-584
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-438
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$-384
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-367
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-347
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$-297
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-283
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-269
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$-210
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$-198
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
9023
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
45.1%
Half-Kelly
22.6%
Top-1 market
95%
Top-5 markets
96.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
37 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.8
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.6%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)82.4%
Sessions
#1210/28/2025, 3:05:01 PM207 trades$77,848108 min
10/27/2025, 11:53:53 PM166 trades$60,83677 min
10/28/2025, 5:17:45 PM160 trades$52,49877 min
10/28/2025, 2:06:01 AM132 trades$46,074110 min
10/29/2025, 5:39:41 PM107 trades$31,01453 min
10/28/2025, 10:11:37 PM103 trades$28,67658 min
10/28/2025, 2:07:29 PM70 trades$23,42146 min
10/29/2025, 4:46:11 PM59 trades$22,91741 min
10/29/2025, 1:30:41 PM70 trades$22,54840 min
10/28/2025, 5:34:01 AM54 trades$18,83154 min
10/31/2025, 7:08:35 PM144 trades$18,29380 min
10/28/2025, 11:55:27 AM76 trades$18,10156 min
10/29/2025, 2:42:09 PM124 trades$16,93250 min
10/27/2025, 8:05:47 PM28 trades$15,94525 min
10/29/2025, 9:35:07 PM54 trades$15,65855 min
10/29/2025, 12:00:13 AM77 trades$15,43144 min
10/28/2025, 10:51:47 AM34 trades$15,32431 min
10/28/2025, 6:43:39 PM30 trades$15,06920 min
10/28/2025, 6:38:01 AM51 trades$14,45733 min
10/27/2025, 11:16:55 PM26 trades$14,26420 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
11-16
12-08
02-01
03-04
05-02
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.6 / M10 / H82.4