@lighthing
#2,616,23160x30b47f986be8a8463d794f5d8dbada91aa7fc4c7
~52d· 310 markets · 626 tradesVol: $8,0522026-08-04 22:41:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (129/309)5.9/20
0.54x (win $109 / loss $201)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9900/15
Sortino -7.2100/10
$-0.1374 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2522 (309 markets)0/10
15/51 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($92 / $0)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#286,510$-114Vol: $7,908
₿ CRYPTO#1,117,689$-8Vol: $131
⚽ SPORTS#1,131,591$-3Vol: $14
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,052
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
310
total markets
Trades
435B / 191S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $7
Week
$-1
Vol: $18
Month
$-5
Vol: $51
All Time
$-125
Vol: $8,052
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
129W / 180L events
Realized PnL
$-125
Win Rate
42%
129W / 180L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.19608626198083065% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?$9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13?$8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?$7
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 6?$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 2?$4
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?$4
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?$4
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 16?$-10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21?$-5
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 17?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 16?$-5
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on March 21?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.362
Sortino
-0.419
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)59.5%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 4:21:50 PM4 trades$1,0020 min
3/16/2026, 3:13:29 PM7 trades$415 min
3/14/2026, 10:39:33 AM8 trades$405 min
3/20/2026, 3:20:07 AM7 trades$361 min
3/30/2026, 2:51:07 PM24 trades$363 min
3/14/2026, 8:49:39 AM6 trades$3010 min
3/18/2026, 3:59:07 PM3 trades$211 min
3/15/2026, 6:51:39 AM4 trades$203 min
3/15/2026, 10:02:09 PM3 trades$185 min
5/16/2026, 2:14:43 AM2 trades$170 min
3/28/2026, 12:01:59 PM17 trades$176 min
7/6/2026, 8:00:07 PM6 trades$150 min
3/14/2026, 10:33:47 AM3 trades$151 min
3/15/2026, 6:42:03 AM3 trades$154 min
3/15/2026, 7:10:21 PM1 trades$150 min
3/30/2026, 11:40:05 PM8 trades$145 min
3/23/2026, 7:56:09 AM12 trades$1428 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:26 PM3 trades$130 min
3/21/2026, 11:48:11 PM5 trades$1312 min
7/6/2026, 7:36:13 AM6 trades$130 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
03-23
04-03
06-12
06-20
07-09
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
88% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.3 / M18.2 / H59.5