@lillh

#1,893,89512

0x0a7affa31fc3385d5475f9a4599b655144bd4481

~20d· 24 markets · 123 tradesVol: $19,3052026-08-04 21:45:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (9/24)3.8/20
0.92x (win $300 / loss $327)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4430/15
Sortino -0.6390/10
$-0.0188 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1533 (24 markets)4.8/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 119% of peak ($162 / $136)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#54,286$138Vol: $13,492
CRYPTO#1,507,868$-143Vol: $3,154
SPORTS#1,198,480$-5Vol: $1,698
📈 ECONOMICS#513,021$-2Vol: $900

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,305
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
52B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-12
Vol: $19,305

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
9W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
38%
9W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $293 (25.145797598627787% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$147
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$108
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$38
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$0
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0

Top Losers

Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-162
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-30
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5AM ET$-19
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?$-14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-2
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$-1
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.023
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
1092
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
1.0%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
21.9%
Top-5 markets
63.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 438s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)40.4%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 8:45:09 AM14 trades$1,5000 min
10/12/2024, 3:48:56 AM4 trades$6097 min
6/22/2026, 9:03:28 AM11 trades$2741 min
6/22/2026, 5:28:38 PM7 trades$2201 min
10/22/2024, 9:21:04 PM2 trades$1970 min
11/11/2024, 9:55:33 AM11 trades$15515 min
1/19/2026, 10:11:44 AM3 trades$1523 min
1/5/2026, 4:38:45 PM2 trades$1151 min
1/5/2026, 2:53:39 PM1 trades$1090 min
1/5/2026, 3:03:29 PM2 trades$1085 min
10/22/2024, 10:32:14 PM1 trades$1020 min
10/14/2024, 9:48:47 AM2 trades$1003 min
11/7/2024, 2:03:15 AM1 trades$990 min
11/7/2024, 2:18:19 AM7 trades$9910 min
11/11/2024, 9:17:31 AM3 trades$974 min
11/21/2024, 7:59:27 AM2 trades$951 min
6/17/2026, 1:53:05 PM3 trades$890 min
6/11/2026, 2:46:48 PM4 trades$630 min
1/19/2026, 9:47:08 AM1 trades$600 min
6/17/2026, 2:10:53 PM1 trades$580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
10-14
10-25
11-21
01-19
06-08
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.2 / M15.4 / H40.4