@lilyispo

#393,82589

0xefd3f04ea163bab1bbdc71f2e1eb7e718ae677bc

~20d· 30 markets · 157 tradesVol: $6,9422026-08-05 00:10:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (26/30)20/20
7.18x (win $158 / loss $22)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.40415/15
Sortino 900.48510/10
$+0.0212 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 903 (30 markets)8/10
16/18 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($1 / $136)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+25
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Consistent
16/18 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

5
SPORTS#220,960$22Vol: $4,414
💻 TECH#191,848$-1Vol: $1,269
CRYPTO#746,436$-0Vol: $848
📈 ECONOMICS#73,688$3Vol: $73
🎭 CULTURE#213,196$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,942
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
70B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$25
Vol: $6,942

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
26W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
87%
26W / 4L
Profit Factor
7.18x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $103 (4.1797478649857664% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.377
Sortino
inf
HHI
2712
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.5%
Top-5 markets
99.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.43
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)90%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 1:36:38 PM32 trades$1,47012 min
7/5/2026, 2:09:34 PM49 trades$1,2934 min
7/2/2026, 6:24:01 AM12 trades$9802 min
6/20/2026, 2:10:25 PM9 trades$8992 min
6/28/2026, 6:38:46 AM4 trades$3551 min
6/29/2026, 8:27:16 AM4 trades$3450 min
7/10/2026, 2:47:59 PM6 trades$3421 min
6/5/2026, 9:38:24 AM2 trades$1800 min
6/23/2026, 8:31:50 AM4 trades$1801 min
6/23/2026, 8:20:52 AM2 trades$1790 min
7/23/2026, 6:40:03 AM2 trades$1640 min
6/2/2026, 8:34:42 AM4 trades$623 min
4/30/2026, 9:20:58 AM2 trades$600 min
3/23/2026, 9:33:33 AM3 trades$331 min
1/10/2026, 4:00:10 AM2 trades$322 min
6/5/2026, 9:27:30 AM2 trades$310 min
5/31/2026, 1:15:57 PM2 trades$310 min
11/12/2025, 9:06:38 AM2 trades$251 min
2/9/2026, 9:45:29 AM1 trades$220 min
1/30/2026, 6:38:38 AM3 trades$221 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
01-30
04-30
06-23
06-29
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M1.4 / H90