@littlebird
#3,070,773190x202b3056678783c0ad73cc20c837b360b994971a
~125d· 241 markets · 3303 tradesVol: $743,0122026-08-04 20:21:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (62/133)8.3/20
0.22x (win $12,361 / loss $56,685)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2730/15
Sortino -2.2690/10
$-0.2381 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1455 (133 markets)5.2/10
31/60 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 1099% of peak ($52,444 / $4,773)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 13.3 entries/market
Whale
$186,156 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,079$-33,811Vol: $467,409
🎭 CULTURE#814,882$-3,018Vol: $229,739
📈 ECONOMICS#676,632$-574Vol: $30,071
💰 FINANCE#636,782$-129Vol: $10,160
💻 TECH#254,690$-309Vol: $2,225
₿ CRYPTO#185,806$19Vol: $1,666
🌤️ WEATHER#265,477$-25Vol: $824
📢 MENTIONS#167,426$-152Vol: $519
⚽ SPORTS#72,610$300Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-37,699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$743,012
Total Redeem
$37
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
1786B / 1517S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d
Periods
#2Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $0
Month
$177
Vol: $0
All Time
$-37,699
Vol: $743,012
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
62W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$-37,701
Win Rate
47%
62W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$199
Avg Loss
$-886
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,756 (0.17920225056172534% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$2,737
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$2,094
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$1,925
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$754
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$523
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$436
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$364
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$361
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$300
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?$284
Top Losers
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-33,613
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-14,469
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-1,800
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1,243
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$-1,000
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-568
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$-428
Trump signs national abortion ban?$-316
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-278
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-259
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.082
HHI
1166
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.260
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.9%
Top-5 markets
62.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)58.1%
Sessions
#125/19/2026, 9:27:54 PM33 trades$19,2757 min
4/30/2026, 8:21:06 PM9 trades$12,6461 min
5/19/2026, 11:06:32 PM161 trades$12,39216 min
4/28/2026, 2:00:02 PM12 trades$8,4336 min
5/19/2026, 2:00:13 AM7 trades$6,1040 min
2/6/2025, 11:30:35 PM1 trades$6,0690 min
2/7/2025, 5:06:34 AM1 trades$5,8840 min
4/2/2026, 6:12:55 PM41 trades$5,13219 min
5/19/2026, 12:45:54 AM65 trades$5,0743 min
4/27/2026, 9:45:28 PM2 trades$5,0120 min
3/10/2026, 8:54:07 PM2 trades$4,2640 min
2/24/2026, 4:50:38 AM2 trades$4,2001 min
4/14/2026, 10:18:14 PM4 trades$4,0162 min
5/22/2026, 1:52:06 PM13 trades$3,9161 min
11/5/2024, 5:22:13 AM1 trades$3,9080 min
3/17/2026, 3:09:23 AM13 trades$3,85213 min
3/10/2026, 9:19:47 PM11 trades$3,2782 min
2/20/2026, 8:40:00 PM6 trades$3,1497 min
5/19/2026, 4:06:50 PM56 trades$3,11810 min
5/19/2026, 5:10:51 PM19 trades$3,0734 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
12-02
03-12
04-02
05-03
05-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 474 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.5 / M25.5 / H58.1