liwil

@liwil

#462,9399

0x689f6e30a6a94fb74f965be03a07005e307ef704

~6d· 51 markets · 351 tradesVol: $40,3502026-08-05 02:04:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (7/51)0/20
0.39x (win $236 / loss $604)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.5568 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 627 (51 markets)9.4/10
0/6 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($369 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+13
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,332,825$-32Vol: $23,933
🌤️ WEATHER#10,015$53Vol: $15,364
⚽ SPORTS#889,318$-1Vol: $934

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,350
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
81B / 270S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$13
Vol: $40,350

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
7W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
14%
7W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $221 (16.73015873015873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$163
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$32
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?$9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-140
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$-121
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-113
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-100
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-50
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on July 4?$-4
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 4?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.708
Sortino
-0.675
HHI
1082
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.541
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
65.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.0m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule35 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.96
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.1%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 8:00:55 PM53 trades$4538 min
7/9/2026, 8:36:26 PM41 trades$3363 min
7/7/2026, 9:40:14 PM11 trades$2720 min
7/9/2026, 10:25:31 AM15 trades$2690 min
7/11/2026, 9:21:11 PM26 trades$2442 min
7/7/2026, 1:05:05 PM19 trades$2100 min
7/9/2026, 11:18:28 AM19 trades$2020 min
7/9/2026, 6:36:28 PM19 trades$1991 min
7/9/2026, 9:34:35 AM24 trades$934 min
7/9/2026, 1:47:04 PM9 trades$890 min
7/9/2026, 6:55:32 PM17 trades$824 min
7/7/2026, 12:57:47 PM23 trades$601 min
7/2/2026, 8:45:35 PM14 trades$561 min
7/2/2026, 2:55:56 PM9 trades$560 min
7/2/2026, 2:47:44 PM12 trades$471 min
7/9/2026, 10:19:31 AM3 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 6:08:43 PM13 trades$290 min
7/2/2026, 3:04:10 PM2 trades$200 min
7/2/2026, 8:53:50 PM12 trades$182 min
7/4/2026, 4:50:11 PM2 trades$180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-04
07-06
07-07
07-09
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
62% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.1 / M29.6 / H22.2