@lnwza

#2,682,73952

0xd13d50ddea2728f534f4720e9b0856a5cd8fa958

~34d· 700 markets · 3119 tradesVol: $185,1252026-08-06 15:53:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (410/700)14.3/20
1.08x (win $7,477 / loss $6,954)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68712.9/15
Sortino 1.29810/10
$+0.0379 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 613 (700 markets)9.4/10
8/31 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 497% of peak ($2,598 / $522)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,584,782$-426Vol: $100,654
🎭 CULTURE#12,117$253Vol: $84,471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-174
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$185,125
Total Redeem
$169
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
700
total markets
Trades
1021B / 2098S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
410W / 290L events
Realized PnL
$-174
Win Rate
59%
410W / 290L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,268 (18.820961704578174% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$2,033
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$746
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$489
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$257
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$247
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$238
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$212
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$209
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$191
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$182

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-519
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-488
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$-363
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$-361
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$-351
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-199
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-199
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-199
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$-192
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$-192

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.064
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
12.8%
Half-Kelly
6.4%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
24.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.0
Active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 207s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency7.9 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)58.1%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 9:22:36 AM17 trades$23,6524 min
4/26/2026, 3:50:06 AM79 trades$16,8608 min
4/26/2026, 2:50:08 PM49 trades$8,4884 min
5/16/2026, 6:23:08 AM21 trades$6,2815 min
4/26/2026, 3:22:22 PM81 trades$1,6569 min
5/15/2026, 4:53:21 PM17 trades$1,4790 min
4/25/2026, 3:21:32 PM2 trades$1,4590 min
5/31/2026, 2:41:35 PM24 trades$1,2242 min
6/20/2026, 2:14:10 AM56 trades$1,1408 min
5/31/2026, 8:41:58 AM15 trades$1,1030 min
4/26/2026, 3:36:56 PM70 trades$1,1027 min
6/21/2026, 11:45:46 AM42 trades$1,0611 min
6/19/2026, 4:47:04 AM93 trades$1,04111 min
6/21/2026, 2:23:14 AM15 trades$1,0010 min
5/27/2026, 2:24:12 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
4/29/2026, 6:50:20 AM19 trades$9231 min
4/26/2026, 3:03:04 PM61 trades$88214 min
5/2/2026, 10:47:08 AM17 trades$8730 min
4/27/2026, 3:40:54 AM28 trades$7665 min
4/27/2026, 2:16:56 AM28 trades$73215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-29
05-27
06-06
06-11
06-20
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16 / M26 / H58.1