@loni345

#2,402,04621

0x5f8dcf361e57331ddb75e57aee7bedb7968c43a8

~11d· 34 markets · 107 tradesVol: $3,3292026-08-04 21:03:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (15/34)7.1/20
0.63x (win $665 / loss $1,063)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5620/15
Sortino -4.6010/10
$-0.2208 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 576 (34 markets)9.6/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 580% of peak ($489 / $84)0/10

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,571,208$-43Vol: $3,192

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,329
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
48B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
15W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
44%
15W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $320 (5.478313046459798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score$122
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$102
South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?$95
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$60
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$53
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$49
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$38
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$34
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$31
Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?$28

Top Losers

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-352
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$-130
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$-100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-78
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$-78
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$-60
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-55
Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$-40
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
671
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.221
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.9%
Top-5 markets
43.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1318s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — normal3.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 8:21:58 AM4 trades$4181 min
6/26/2026, 5:58:22 PM2 trades$2670 min
6/28/2026, 1:53:34 AM6 trades$2454 min
6/27/2026, 8:32:14 AM4 trades$2434 min
6/27/2026, 11:52:23 PM5 trades$2272 min
6/27/2026, 5:29:56 AM3 trades$2230 min
6/22/2026, 5:04:10 PM9 trades$1837 min
6/28/2026, 4:59:43 AM2 trades$1360 min
6/24/2026, 5:45:22 PM4 trades$1281 min
6/23/2026, 5:06:59 PM2 trades$910 min
6/28/2026, 3:37:23 PM2 trades$870 min
6/28/2026, 2:29:59 AM7 trades$770 min
6/23/2026, 12:26:35 AM2 trades$770 min
6/23/2026, 3:37:46 AM4 trades$761 min
6/20/2026, 10:08:58 PM2 trades$700 min
6/30/2026, 2:59:59 AM5 trades$690 min
6/22/2026, 5:56:17 PM2 trades$590 min
6/22/2026, 6:11:58 PM2 trades$560 min
6/23/2026, 5:05:58 AM2 trades$560 min
6/22/2026, 5:29:55 PM2 trades$530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
06-29
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M25 / H68.8