@lorasw

#41,61046

0x33beef432ce5f3eaeb2cea4937234ca5a5e8adc8

~46d· 148 markets · 1136 tradesVol: $234,9512026-08-04 21:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (29/121)0/20
1.35x (win $7,610 / loss $5,658)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57615/15
Sortino 3.52910/10
$+0.0744 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 503 (121 markets)10/10
11/38 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($3,151 / $2,621)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,652
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#36,398$1,066Vol: $103,398
🏛️ POLITICS#17,796$1,013Vol: $81,474
📈 ECONOMICS#2,582$1,319Vol: $35,591
🎭 CULTURE#805,234$-479Vol: $7,296
₿ CRYPTO#1,560,273$-284Vol: $6,481
💻 TECH#214,237$-4Vol: $423
💰 FINANCE#31,225$35Vol: $289

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$234,951
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
440B / 696S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-647
Vol: $0
Week
$-500
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,612
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,665
Vol: $234,951

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
28W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$2,652
Win Rate
23%
28W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,988 (1.881165826265034% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2,893
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1,113
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$982
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$724
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$644
Trump out as President before GTA VI?$402
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$315
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$102
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$78
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$60

Top Losers

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-1,213
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-561
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-374
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-364
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-288
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-275
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-264
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-238
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-186

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.182
HHI
1507
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.1%
Top-5 markets
75.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 327s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)37.3%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 9:55:28 AM9 trades$4,9120 min
6/23/2026, 7:01:25 AM24 trades$4,0681 min
6/22/2026, 2:47:19 PM8 trades$3,2140 min
7/19/2026, 11:55:03 PM2 trades$2,8970 min
6/16/2026, 1:28:46 AM1 trades$2,6460 min
6/20/2026, 8:21:58 PM42 trades$2,5137 min
7/16/2026, 8:55:04 AM6 trades$2,4930 min
7/24/2026, 6:00:31 PM9 trades$2,3721 min
6/19/2026, 11:53:16 AM19 trades$2,2744 min
7/22/2026, 3:24:31 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/20/2026, 12:02:00 PM4 trades$1,9960 min
7/15/2026, 9:05:38 PM2 trades$1,9520 min
7/20/2026, 5:20:48 PM13 trades$1,7142 min
7/8/2026, 1:03:53 PM12 trades$1,6933 min
7/1/2026, 6:21:38 PM3 trades$1,5000 min
6/20/2026, 3:21:58 PM2 trades$1,4000 min
6/27/2026, 9:58:32 AM5 trades$1,2280 min
6/30/2026, 6:30:19 AM4 trades$1,1503 min
6/22/2026, 2:41:25 PM10 trades$1,0960 min
6/27/2026, 10:39:56 PM8 trades$1,0252 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-13
06-19
06-27
07-06
07-15
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.6 / M14.1 / H37.3