@lp100

#2,907,81323

0x333dd125da2cdded56f42b197ba699e17525e8b7

~42d· 269 markets · 1347 tradesVol: $58,8742026-08-05 02:38:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (98/218)7.5/20
0.64x (win $2,428 / loss $3,788)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1240/15
Sortino -4.2560/10
$-0.0799 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 605 (218 markets)9.5/10
21/38 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 441% of peak ($1,760 / $399)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,075$-388Vol: $20,331
SPORTS#1,710,719$-136Vol: $19,612
📈 ECONOMICS#655,233$-76Vol: $7,325
💰 FINANCE#635,341$-115Vol: $3,795
📢 MENTIONS#159,990$-67Vol: $1,986
🎭 CULTURE#741,601$-29Vol: $1,598
🌤️ WEATHER#246,370$-10Vol: $540
💻 TECH#227,799$-10Vol: $318
CRYPTO#1,159,299$-10Vol: $286

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-840
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,874
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
269
total markets
Trades
757B / 590S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-840
Vol: $58,874

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
98W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-840
Win Rate
45%
98W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,164 (1.3862312886284875% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$628
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$364
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$172
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$171
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$102
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$49
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$48

Top Losers

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-845
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-789
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-366
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-250
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$-194
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-147
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?$-108
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-69
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.213
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
709
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
53.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 637s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)57.7%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 12:53:11 AM5 trades$1,2560 min
6/24/2026, 9:01:44 PM3 trades$8530 min
6/25/2026, 8:24:14 AM3 trades$8350 min
6/25/2026, 10:03:13 PM3 trades$8270 min
6/21/2026, 3:14:37 AM6 trades$7462 min
6/24/2026, 10:54:56 AM7 trades$6450 min
6/25/2026, 9:47:41 PM4 trades$6070 min
6/21/2026, 4:37:44 PM5 trades$5721 min
6/24/2026, 9:26:34 AM6 trades$5141 min
6/25/2026, 2:38:23 PM11 trades$4850 min
6/22/2026, 4:57:50 PM5 trades$4621 min
6/19/2026, 4:49:20 AM6 trades$4482 min
6/21/2026, 1:54:38 AM3 trades$4360 min
6/22/2026, 4:44:52 AM7 trades$4320 min
6/27/2026, 5:31:34 AM6 trades$4230 min
6/21/2026, 7:02:10 AM4 trades$3920 min
6/19/2026, 12:25:34 PM4 trades$3761 min
7/2/2026, 1:29:01 PM8 trades$3745 min
6/18/2026, 12:01:01 PM6 trades$3690 min
6/20/2026, 12:32:43 PM12 trades$3650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
05-25
06-01
06-11
06-17
06-23
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M34.9 / H57.7