@luedmued

#2,885,03012

0xaabf54ee24d1f5cd4656513696b8ee4ac72cafd2

~25d· 41 markets · 259 tradesVol: $25,7772026-08-05 02:44:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (9/32)0/20
0.37x (win $949 / loss $2,600)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3560/15
Sortino -8.5700/10
$-0.1927 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 619 (32 markets)9.4/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 63341% of peak ($1,653 / $3)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,566,093$-215Vol: $7,579
📈 ECONOMICS#654,523$-72Vol: $6,292
⚽ SPORTS#1,667,999$-93Vol: $3,056
💰 FINANCE#636,382$-124Vol: $3,019
₿ CRYPTO#1,474,932$-103Vol: $2,146
🌤️ WEATHER#271,566$-37Vol: $1,453
🎭 CULTURE#693,876$-11Vol: $750
💻 TECH#207,404$-3Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-670
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,777
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
107B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $452
Month
$-39
Vol: $909
All Time
$-670
Vol: $25,777

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
9W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-670
Win Rate
28%
9W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-113

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $687 (1.024425909070562% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$394
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$158
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$134
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$123
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?$112
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?$12
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?$8
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-368
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-345
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-219
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-196
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-187
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-179
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?$-168
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-150
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-118
Zagreb: Stefan Dostanic vs Chris Rodesch$-110

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.424
Sortino
-0.650
HHI
299
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)65.4%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 8:23:33 AM10 trades$6512 min
6/19/2026, 12:28:14 AM3 trades$6470 min
6/18/2026, 7:11:50 PM17 trades$5890 min
6/24/2026, 12:15:23 AM3 trades$5830 min
5/28/2026, 3:43:08 PM3 trades$5760 min
7/18/2026, 3:02:18 AM13 trades$5610 min
6/19/2026, 4:42:23 AM5 trades$5600 min
7/31/2026, 4:42:54 AM3 trades$5250 min
6/25/2026, 8:24:14 AM3 trades$5010 min
7/27/2026, 3:32:01 PM3 trades$4980 min
6/27/2026, 1:02:25 PM4 trades$4960 min
7/3/2026, 9:23:26 PM4 trades$4940 min
7/31/2026, 6:36:15 PM7 trades$4800 min
6/28/2026, 8:58:16 AM12 trades$4520 min
6/18/2026, 12:13:53 PM5 trades$4110 min
5/12/2026, 8:51:08 AM5 trades$3265 min
5/23/2026, 4:20:45 PM5 trades$2990 min
6/18/2026, 10:27:32 AM1 trades$2940 min
5/18/2026, 11:39:11 AM7 trades$2820 min
5/20/2026, 2:30:01 PM6 trades$2810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-13
05-19
05-21
05-23
05-28
06-19
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
3.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M24.3 / H65.4